Match Info

Liga Nationala - Round 26

Date: 16 May 2025, Friday


	Fagaras		CSM București

	1	X	2
	3.75	9.8	1.36
	4.03	9.07	1.37	Watch
	3.9	10	1.33
	4.17	9.2	1.34	Watch
	3.75	9.8	1.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.92 ↑ (3.4)	9.57 ↑ (9)	1.35 ↓ (1.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 54.75

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fagaras
23.2%

Draw
9.5%

CSM București
67.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.3%

9.9%

63.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.3%

9.9%

63.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fagaras has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

CSM București has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fagaras than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for CSM București than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

Fagaras - CSM București Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 25:29

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fagaras won 0.

Fagaras is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

CSM București is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, CSM București is seen as the favorite.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Fagaras won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 264:338. (average 24:30.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Fagaras won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 114:140. (average 22.8:28).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CSM Fagaras
Romanian Liga Nationala Handball
03.05.25	Steaua București - Fagaras	37:36 ✺
26.04.25	Fagaras - Odorheiu Secuiesc	30:31 ✺
16.04.25	Bacău - Fagaras	33:26 ✺
04.04.25	Fagaras - Dinamo Bucureşti	25:34 ✺
29.03.25	CSM Focșani - Fagaras	23:21 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- CSM București Handball
Romanian Liga Nationala Handball
02.05.25	CSM București - Buzău	25:28 ✺
25.04.25	CSM București - Steaua București	35:29 ✺
16.04.25	Odorheiu Secuiesc - CSM București	28:23 ✺
Romanian Cup Handball
12.04.25	Minaur Baia Mare - CSM București	27:23 ✺
11.04.25	CSM București - Potaissa Turda	22:26 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Romanian Liga Nationala Handball
06.12.24	CSM București - Fagaras	32:22
11.04.21	CSM București - Fagaras	36:27
11.10.20	Fagaras - CSM București	23:32
03.02.20	CSM București - Fagaras	35:26
13.09.19	Fagaras - CSM București	24:30
30.01.19	Fagaras - CSM București	29:24
14.09.18	CSM București - Fagaras	26:22

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