Match Info

EUROPE: EUROPEAN LEAGUE - ROUND 5

Date: 6 December 2022, Tuesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Hungary	Sport 1
Norway	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay


	Ferencváros		Valur Reykjavik

	1	X	2
	1.52	8.5	3	Watch
	1.48	10.5	3.25
	1.52	9.5	3.15
	1.55	9	2.8
	1.55	9	2.9
	1.62	9.2	2.88	Watch
	1.57	9.4	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↑ (1.35)	9.3 ↓ (10)	2.98 ↓ (4)

The most likely Over/Under: 67.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ferencváros
59.4%

Draw
9.9%

Valur Reykjavik
30.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.9%

9.2%

22.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.3%

9.1%

23.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ferencváros has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ferencváros's form might have worsened.

Valur Reykjavik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Valur Reykjavik's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferencváros than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ferencváros, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valur Reykjavik than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Valur Reykjavik, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.9%	0%	11.1%

Ferencváros - Valur Reykjavik Predictions

Users Predictions: Ferencváros will win (24 of 27 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.04% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 35:33

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Preview

Ferencváros is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Valur is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Ferencváros is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Ferencváros won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 39-43.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ferencvárosi TC Handball
Hungarian Division 1 Handball
03.12.22	Budakalász - Ferencváros	25:25 ✺
EHF European League
29.11.22	Ferencváros - Benidorm	32:33 ✺
Hungarian Division 1 Handball
26.11.22	Ferencváros - Komlói BSK	38:30 ✺
EHF European League
22.11.22	Pays dAix - Ferencváros	33:30 ✺
Hungarian Division 1 Handball
17.11.22	Veszprém - Ferencváros	50:40 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 TLWLL
- Valur Reykjavik Handball
Icelandic Olis Deildin
03.12.22	Vestmannaeyjar - Valur Reykjavik	32:37 ✺
EHF European League
29.11.22	Pays dAix - Valur Reykjavik	32:29 ✺
Icelandic Olis Deildin
25.11.22	Hörður Ísafjörðu - Valur Reykjavik	28:46 ✺
EHF European League
22.11.22	Valur Reykjavik - Flensburg-Handewitt	32:37 ✺
Icelandic Olis Deildin
18.11.22	Valur Reykjavik - Stjarnan	35:29 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

EHF European League
25.10.22	Valur Reykjavik - Ferencváros	43:39

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