The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Ferndorf 24.3%
Draw 10%
Elbflorenz 65.7%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
26.7%
10%
63.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
27.5%
10.3%
62.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ferndorf has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
Elbflorenz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferndorf than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elbflorenz than the current prediction. (-3.5%)
Ferndorf - Elbflorenz Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 30:33
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Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ferndorf won 1.
In recent outings, Ferndorf has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Elbflorenz shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
In this matchup, Elbflorenz is considered the favorite to take the win.
Our forecast points to a victory for Elbflorenz in today's match, at odds of 1.38.
In the last 11 head-to-head meetings, Ferndorf has recorded 3 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 286:292 (averaging 26:26.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Ferndorf against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with 128:129 goals (averaging 25.6:25.8 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Pts
1
Elbflorenz
10
9
0
1
364:287
18
11
Ferndorf
9
4
0
5
269:271
8
Last Results with these Odds
Elbflorenz - the odds 1.45 are the expected chance of winning is 63.28%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.
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