Match Info

2. Bundesliga - Round 25

Date: 28 March 2026, Saturday


	Ferndorf		HBW Balingen-Weilstetten

	1	X	2
	5.2	9.2	1.25
	5.18	9.16	1.25	Watch
	4.5	10	1.25
	4.64	10.5	1.29
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.88 ↑ (3.34)	9.72 ↓ (10.77)	1.26 ↓ (1.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 57.75

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ferndorf
18.6%

Draw
9.3%

HBW Balingen-Weilstetten
72.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.7%

8.3%

65%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.9%

8.1%

66.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ferndorf has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ferndorf's form might have worsened.

HBW Balingen-Weilstetten has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting HBW Balingen-Weilstetten's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferndorf than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ferndorf, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for HBW Balingen-Weilstetten than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for HBW Balingen-Weilstetten, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Ferndorf - HBW Balingen Weilstetten Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 27:31

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Preview

Recent performances by Ferndorf have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Balingen-Weilstetten is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).

In this match, Balingen-Weilstetten is considered a favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ferndorf won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 121:134. (average 24.2:26.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Ferndorf won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 47:49. (average 23.5:24.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
8	Ferndorf	6	3	0	3	184:174	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- TuS Ferndorf
German 2 Bundesliga Handball
14.03.26	Bietigheim - Ferndorf	39:28 ✺
07.03.26	Ferndorf - Dessau-Roßlauer	27:29 ✺
01.03.26	Großwallstadt - Ferndorf	27:31 ✺
25.02.26	Ferndorf - Oppenweiler Backnang	28:23 ✺
13.02.26	Ferndorf - Bayer Dormagen	32:31 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LLWWW
- HBW Balingen-Weilstetten
German 2 Bundesliga Handball
15.03.26	HBW Balingen-Weilstetten - TSG Friesenheim Ludwigshafen	31:24 ✺
08.03.26	Nordhorn-Lingen - HBW Balingen-Weilstetten	33:37 ✺
28.02.26	HBW Balingen-Weilstetten - HSC 2000 Coburg	39:24 ✺
25.02.26	Nettelstedt-Lübbecke - HBW Balingen-Weilstetten	25:27 ✺
20.02.26	HBW Balingen-Weilstetten - Lübeck-Schwartau	36:25 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga Handball
19.10.25	HBW Balingen-Weilstetten - Ferndorf	35:31
05.04.25	HBW Balingen-Weilstetten - Ferndorf	21:18
27.10.24	Ferndorf - HBW Balingen-Weilstetten	24:26
02.03.19	Ferndorf - HBW Balingen-Weilstetten	23:23
22.09.18	HBW Balingen-Weilstetten - Ferndorf	29:25

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