Match Info

2. Bundesliga - Round 11

Date: 14 November 2025, Friday


	Ferndorf		Lübeck-Schwartau

	1	X	2
	1.66	8.6	2.65
	1.66	9.3	2.66
	1.74	7.93	2.39
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↓ (1.83)	8.61 ↑ (7.55)	2.57 ↑ (2.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 57.25

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ferndorf
54%

Draw
10.6%

Lübeck-Schwartau
35.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.1%

12.1%

37.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.1%

11.6%

39.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ferndorf has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Lübeck-Schwartau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferndorf than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ferndorf that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lübeck-Schwartau than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Ferndorf - Lübeck Schwartau Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 30:28

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ferndorf won 3.

Ferndorf is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Lübeck-Schwartau has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Ferndorf is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Ferndorf won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 277:278. (average 25.2:25.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Ferndorf won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 125:119. (average 25:23.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- TuS Ferndorf
German 2 Bundesliga Handball
09.11.25	Elbflorenz - Ferndorf	33:33 ✺
25.10.25	Ferndorf - Potsdam	30:23 ✺
19.10.25	HBW Balingen-Weilstetten - Ferndorf	35:31 ✺
10.10.25	Ferndorf - Bietigheim	26:27 ✺
05.10.25	Dessau-Roßlauer - Ferndorf	27:20 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 TWLLL
- VfL Lübeck-Schwartau
German 2 Bundesliga Handball
09.11.25	Lübeck-Schwartau - TSG Friesenheim Ludwigshafen	32:25 ✺
26.10.25	Nordhorn-Lingen - Lübeck-Schwartau	27:26 ✺
19.10.25	Lübeck-Schwartau - HSC 2000 Coburg	27:27 ✺
10.10.25	Nettelstedt-Lübbecke - Lübeck-Schwartau	28:28 ✺
06.10.25	Lübeck-Schwartau - Hüttenberg	35:31 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WLTTW

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga Handball
04.05.25	Lübeck-Schwartau - Ferndorf	24:29
23.03.22	Lübeck-Schwartau - Ferndorf	30:32
25.09.21	Ferndorf - Lübeck-Schwartau	27:28
02.05.21	Lübeck-Schwartau - Ferndorf	29:24
30.04.21	Ferndorf - Lübeck-Schwartau	27:23
14.12.19	Ferndorf - Lübeck-Schwartau	23:19
10.02.19	Lübeck-Schwartau - Ferndorf	22:23

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