Match Info

NORWAY: REMA 1000-LIGAEN WOMEN

Date: 19 November 2023, Sunday


	Follo		Aker

	1	X	2
	1.55	8	3
	1.45	8.75	3.6
	1.76	8.26	2.56
	1.44	8.5	3.2
	1.51	8.4	3.2
	1.52	9.4	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↓ (1.84)	8.55 ↑ (7.73)	3.11 ↑ (2.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 54.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Follo
59.7%

Draw
10.7%

Aker
29.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.3%

11.8%

38.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.3%

12%

39.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Follo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Follo's performance.

Aker has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Aker might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Follo than the current prediction. (-11.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Follo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aker than the current prediction. (+10.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Aker could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Follo - Aker Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 28:26

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Follo won 2.

Both teams are in bad shape now.

Follo will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Follo won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 267-291.

Including matches at home between the teams Follo won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 168-170.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Follo HK Damer
Norwegian Eliteserien Handball Women
15.11.23	Vipers Kristiansand - Follo	39:30 ✺
05.11.23	Follo - Larvik	25:29 ✺
29.10.23	Fana - Follo	25:26 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup Handball Women
25.10.23	Follo - Storhamar	22:36 ✺
Norwegian Eliteserien Handball Women
22.10.23	Follo - Byasen Trondheim	26:29 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 LLWLL
- Aker Topphandball
Norwegian Eliteserien Handball Women
12.11.23	Aker - Fredrikstad	23:31 ✺
05.11.23	Oppsal - Aker	34:30 ✺
29.10.23	Aker - Romerike Ravens	24:23 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup Handball Women
24.10.23	Aker - Oppsal	30:32 ✺
Norwegian Eliteserien Handball Women
18.10.23	Storhamar - Aker	33:21 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Eliteserien Handball Women
20.02.22	Aker - Follo	34:22
17.10.21	Follo - Aker	28:36
Club Friendly Handball Women
22.08.21	Follo - Aker	28:28
Norwegian NM Cup Handball Women
23.09.20	Follo - Aker	31:28
Norwegian Eliteserien Handball Women
16.02.20	Follo - Aker	27:26
20.10.19	Aker - Follo	28:28
Norwegian 1 Division Handball Women
03.02.19	Follo - Aker	25:32

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