Match Info

Extraliga - 5th-8th places - 7th place

Date: 25 April 2026, Saturday


	Frýdek-Místek		Házená Nové Veselí

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.19	6.8	2.01
	2.16	6.87	2.01	Watch
	2.1	7.5	2
	2.11	8.6	1.99
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↑ (1.91)	7.44 ↓ (9.12)	2 ↓ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 56.25

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Frýdek-Místek
42.4%

Draw
12.2%

Házená Nové Veselí
45.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.4%

9.9%

42.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.4%

10.6%

45.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Frýdek-Místek has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Házená Nové Veselí has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Frýdek-Místek than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Házená Nové Veselí than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Frýdek Místek - Házená Nové Veselí Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 29:29

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Preview

First leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Frýdek-Místek won 0.

A run of poor results has hit both teams ahead of this match.

Nové Veselí may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Frýdek-Místek won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 513:524. (average 25.7:26.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Frýdek-Místek won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 252:252. (average 25.2:25.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
5	Nove Veseli	5	3	0	2	139:133	6
11	Frydek-Mistek	5	1	0	4	130:156	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SKP Frýdek-Místek
Czech Extraliga Handball
18.04.26	Mesto Lovosice - Frýdek-Místek	27:22 ✺
12.04.26	Frýdek-Místek - Mesto Lovosice	31:36 ✺
01.04.26	Frýdek-Místek - Banik Karviná	30:36 ✺
25.03.26	Banik Karviná - Frýdek-Místek	31:25 ✺
24.03.26	Banik Karviná - Frýdek-Místek	40:33 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Házená Nové Veselí
Czech Extraliga Handball
17.04.26	Brno - Házená Nové Veselí	28:26 ✺
10.04.26	Házená Nové Veselí - Brno	32:33 ✺
03.04.26	Házená Nové Veselí - Talent MAT Plzen	24:26 ✺
29.03.26	Talent MAT Plzen - Házená Nové Veselí	28:15 ✺
27.03.26	Talent MAT Plzen - Házená Nové Veselí	37:25 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Czech Extraliga Handball
01.03.26	Frýdek-Místek - Házená Nové Veselí	26:27
04.10.25	Házená Nové Veselí - Frýdek-Místek	27:25
26.02.25	Házená Nové Veselí - Frýdek-Místek	27:22
03.11.24	Frýdek-Místek - Házená Nové Veselí	17:23
04.02.24	Frýdek-Místek - Házená Nové Veselí	25:28
07.10.23	Házená Nové Veselí - Frýdek-Místek	23:37
20.11.22	Házená Nové Veselí - Frýdek-Místek	29:27

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