Match Info

WORLD: World Championship - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 30 January 2025, Thursday

Location: Arena Zagreb (Zagreb)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	SporTV 2
Czech-republic	CT sport, CT sport Plus
Denmark	TV2 Play
Finland	Viaplay
Germany	Sportdeuschland
Iceland	RUV 2
Italy	PallamanoTV, Sky Sport 257
Kazakhstan	Sport+
Netherlands	Viaplay
North-macedonia	MRT 1
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	TVP Sport, Viaplay
Romania	Digi Sport 4, Prima Sport 5
Serbia	Arena Sport 3 Premium
Slovakia	STVR Sport
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1
Sweden	Viaplay
Ukraine	Sport 1
Usa	ESPN 3


	France		Croatia

	1	X	2
	1.35	10	4.75	Watch
	1.4	10	3.9	Watch
	1.29	11	4.4
	1.36	9.85	4.28	Watch
	1.3	10	4.2
	1.37	10.2	4.51	Watch
	1.29	11	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.34 ↓ (1.46)	10.29 ↑ (9.08)	4.35 ↑ (3.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 59.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

France
69.6%

Draw
9%

Croatia
21.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.9%

10.1%

26.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.9%

10.3%

27.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

France has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in France's performance.

Croatia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Croatia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for France than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with France that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Croatia than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Croatia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76.5%	0%	23.5%

France - Croatia Predictions

Users Predictions: France will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 32:28

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Lineups


16. Bolzinger C.	5. Duvnjak D.
6. Bos J.	57. Glavas F.
39. Briet T.	62. Jelinic M.
92. Desbonnet R.	18. Karacic I.
23. Fabregas L.	9. Klarica L.
15. Grebille M.	1. Kuzmanovic D.
22. Karabatic L.	41. Lucin T.
34. Konan K.	30. Mamic M.
29. Kounkoud B.	20. Maras M.
10. Mem D.	51. Martinovic I.
4. Minne A.	35. Pesic I.
31. Nahi D.	10. Simic J.
8. Prandi E.	53. Sipic M.
5. Remili N.	6. Sostaric M.
9. Richardson M.	11. Srna Z.
11. Tournat N.	52. Susnja L.
Coaches
. Gille G.	. Sigurdsson D.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches France won 4.

France in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Croatia is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match France is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's France to win the game is with odds 1.36.

Last 12 head-to-head matches France won 9 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 311:288 (average 25.9:24).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- France handball
Handball World Championship
28.01.25	France - Egypt	34:33 ✺
25.01.25	France - North Macedonia	32:25 ✺
23.01.25	Netherlands - France	28:35 ✺
21.01.25	Hungary - France	30:37 ✺
18.01.25	France - Austria	35:27 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WWWWW
- Croatia handball
Handball World Championship
28.01.25	Croatia - Hungary	31:30 ✺
26.01.25	Croatia - Slovenia	29:26 ✺
24.01.25	Croatia - Iceland	32:26 ✺
22.01.25	Cape Verde - Croatia	24:44 ✺
19.01.25	Egypt - Croatia	28:24 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Friendly International Handball
17.07.24	France - Croatia	31:26
Handball European Championship
18.01.24	France - Croatia	34:32
13.01.22	Croatia - France	22:27
Olympic Games - Handball
12.03.21	France - Croatia	30:26
Handball World Championship
23.01.19	France - Croatia	20:23
Handball European Championship
24.01.18	Croatia - France	27:30
Olympic Games - Handball
13.08.16	Croatia - France	29:28

France - Croatia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide