Match Info

Herre Handbold Ligaen - Round 26

Date: 28 March 2026, Saturday


	Fredericia		Mors-Thy

	1	X	2
	1.9	8.5	2.35
	1.92	8	2.29
	1.91	6.92	2.35	Watch
	1.83	7.5	2.25
	1.87	8.7	2.31
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↓ (1.91)	7.92 ↑ (7.69)	2.31 ↓ (2.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 63.75

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Fredericia
48.7%

Draw
11.6%

Mors-Thy
39.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.5%

12%

39.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.6%

11.5%

37.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fredericia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Mors-Thy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fredericia than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mors-Thy than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Fredericia - Mors Thy Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 33:33

#ad

Preview

Mors is Qualified for Herre Handbold Ligaen (Winners stage )

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fredericia won 0.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Fredericia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Fredericia won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 503:540. (average 29.6:31.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Fredericia won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 275:278. (average 30.6:30.9).

Outrights of Danish Handbold Ligaen for now

Fredericia: 1.37% Mors: 0.82%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
8	Fredericia	8	4	0	4	239:218	8
11	Mors	8	3	0	5	243:256	6

Last Results with these Odds

Fredericia - the odds 1.91 are the expected chance of winning is 48.54%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fredericia Håndbold
Danish Handbold Ligaen
24.03.26	Ribe-Esbjerg - Fredericia	31:26 ✺
14.03.26	Fredericia - HØJ	35:29 ✺
EHF European League
10.03.26	Kadetten Schaffhausen - Fredericia	29:30 ✺
Danish Handbold Ligaen
07.03.26	Fredericia - Sønderjysk Elite	39:37 ✺
EHF European League
03.03.26	Fredericia - Nexe	26:33 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 LWWWL
- Mors-Thy Handbold
Danish Handbold Ligaen
25.03.26	Mors-Thy - Grindsted	35:31 ✺
14.03.26	Aalborg - Mors-Thy	33:26 ✺
07.03.26	Mors-Thy - Tvis Holstebro	37:38 ✺
25.02.26	Skjern - Mors-Thy	28:30 ✺
22.02.26	Mors-Thy - GOG	34:40 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Danish Handbold Ligaen
22.11.25	Mors-Thy - Fredericia	33:32
30.03.25	Fredericia - Mors-Thy	32:35
03.11.24	Mors-Thy - Fredericia	33:33
12.12.23	Fredericia - Mors-Thy	25:25
17.09.23	Mors-Thy - Fredericia	25:24
25.02.23	Fredericia - Mors-Thy	36:25
20.10.22	Mors-Thy - Fredericia	37:24

Upcoming Matches