Match Info

POLAND: Superliga - Round 13

Date: 1 December 2024, Sunday

Location: HWS Pogoń (Zabrze)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	Polsat Sport 1


	Górnik Zabrze		Gwardia Opole

	1	X	2
	1.33	9.8	4.1
	1.34	10.04	4.46	Watch
	1.3	10	4.2
	1.34	9.8	4.2
	1.33	9.8	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↓ (1.48)	9.89 ↑ (8.82)	4.21 ↑ (3.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 56.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Górnik Zabrze
69%

Draw
9.3%

Gwardia Opole
21.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.5%

10.3%

28.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.9%

10.2%

28.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Górnik Zabrze has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Górnik Zabrze's performance.

Gwardia Opole has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gwardia Opole might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Górnik Zabrze than the current prediction. (-8.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Górnik Zabrze that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gwardia Opole than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gwardia Opole could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Górnik Zabrze - Gwardia Opole Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 30:26

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Lineups


15. Artemenko D.	1. Alaj J.
23. Bogacz J.	11. Hryniewicz M.
17. Cherkashchenko B.	4. Jedraszczyk P.
77. Ilchenko D.	88. Jendryca D.
22. Ivanovic N.	99. Kaminski O.
58. Komarzewski K.	8. Langowski A.
19. Krawczyk P.	12. Lellek M.
14. Krepa P.	21. Luksa J.
1. Ligarzewski K.	22. Milewski M.
35. Minotskyi T.	66. Pelidija A.
5. Pinda J.	20. Stempin P.
29. Pluczyk S.	43. Wandzel J.
7. Racotea D.	17. Widomski A.
3. Szyszko J.	7. Wojdan M.
89. Wasowski A.	6. Wrzesinski F.
16. Wyszomirski P.	9. Zawadzki P.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Górnik Zabrze won 5.

Górnik Zabrze has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Gwardia Opole is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Gwardia Opole could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Górnik Zabrze is a favorite.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Górnik Zabrze won 14 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 559:482 (average 28:24.1).

Including matches at home between the teams Górnik Zabrze won 8 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 321:263 (average 29.2:23.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Górnik Zabrze Handball
EHF European League
26.11.24	Górnik Zabrze - Bjerringbro SV	25:25 ✺
Polish Superliga Handball
24.11.24	Ostrovia Ostrów Wielkopolski - Górnik Zabrze	32:30 ✺
EHF European League
19.11.24	BM Granollers - Górnik Zabrze	41:30 ✺
Polish Superliga Handball
16.11.24	Górnik Zabrze - MMTS Kwidzyn	21:28 ✺
EHF European League
29.10.24	Montpellier HB - Górnik Zabrze	30:25 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1 TLLLL
- Gwardia Opole
Polish Superliga Handball
25.11.24	Gwardia Opole - Kalisz	30:17 ✺
Polish Cup Handball
20.11.24	VIRET Zawiercie - Gwardia Opole	35:40
Polish Superliga Handball
17.11.24	Ostrovia Ostrów Wielkopolski - Gwardia Opole	33:30 ✺
25.10.24	Gwardia Opole - Wisła Płock	22:33 ✺
19.10.24	MMTS Kwidzyn - Gwardia Opole	24:31 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Superliga Handball
09.12.23	Gwardia Opole - Górnik Zabrze	28:30
04.09.23	Górnik Zabrze - Gwardia Opole	29:19
25.03.23	Gwardia Opole - Górnik Zabrze	22:29
Club Friendly Hanbdall
26.01.23	Górnik Zabrze - Gwardia Opole	32:16
Polish Superliga Handball
20.10.22	Górnik Zabrze - Gwardia Opole	30:24
Club Friendly Hanbdall
02.08.22	Gwardia Opole - Górnik Zabrze	24:29
Polish Superliga Handball
06.05.22	Górnik Zabrze - Gwardia Opole	29:25

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