Match Info

EUROPE: EUROPEAN LEAGUE - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 4

Date: 14 November 2023, Tuesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	Eurosport 1


	Górnik Zabrze		HC Kriens-Luzern

	1	X	2
	2.15	8	2	Watch
	2.3	9	1.87
	2.18	8.38	1.99
	2.25	7.5	1.85
	2.22	8.7	1.96
	2.11	8	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↓ (2.87)	8.26 ↓ (8.33)	1.94 ↑ (1.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 57.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Górnik Zabrze
41.6%

Draw
11.1%

HC Kriens-Luzern
47.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.7%

10.9%

57.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.2%

11.8%

62.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Górnik Zabrze has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Górnik Zabrze's performance.

HC Kriens-Luzern has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and HC Kriens-Luzern might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Górnik Zabrze than the current prediction. (-12.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Górnik Zabrze that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for HC Kriens-Luzern than the current prediction. (+14.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that HC Kriens-Luzern could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
93.1%	3.4%	3.4%

Górnik Zabrze - HC Kriens Luzern Predictions

Users Predictions: 29 users predict this event. Górnik Zabrze will win (votes: 27 - 93.1%). HC Kriens will win (votes: 1 - 3.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 3.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Górnik Zabrze: 83.9% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 30:30

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Preview

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Górnik Zabrze could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

HC Kriens will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Górnik Zabrze Handball
Polish Superliga Handball
10.11.23	Górnik Zabrze - Unia Tarnów	26:19 ✺
EHF European League
24.10.23	Hannover-Burgdorf - Górnik Zabrze	34:28 ✺
Polish Superliga Handball
22.10.23	Wisła Płock - Górnik Zabrze	26:22 ✺
EHF European League
17.10.23	Górnik Zabrze - AEK Athens	30:21 ✺
Polish Superliga Handball
14.10.23	Kalisz - Górnik Zabrze	32:27 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WLLWL
- HC Kriens-Luzern
Swiss NLA Handball
11.11.23	Kadetten Schaffhausen - HC Kriens-Luzern	29:26 ✺
08.11.23	TSV St. Otmar St. Gallen - HC Kriens-Luzern	29:34 ✺
EHF European League
24.10.23	AEK Athens - HC Kriens-Luzern	30:29 ✺
17.10.23	HC Kriens-Luzern - Hannover-Burgdorf	23:31 ✺
Swiss NLA Handball
14.10.23	HC Kriens-Luzern - Kreuzlingen	35:31 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LWLLW

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