Match Info

2. Bundesliga - Round 6

Date: 4 October 2026, Sunday


	GWD Minden		Dessau-Roßlauer

	1	X	2
	1.24	10.50	5.00
	1.36	8.50	3.90
	1.25	9.1	5.1	Watch
	1.22	11.00	4.90
	1.29	10.50	4.64
	1.24	11.00	4.80
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.27 ↓ (1.39)	10.1 ↑ (9.73)	4.72 ↑ (3.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 60.75

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

GWD Minden
71.8%

Draw
9%

Dessau-Roßlauer
19.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.5%

9.4%

25.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.2%

9.3%

24.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

GWD Minden has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in GWD Minden's performance.

Dessau-Roßlauer has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Dessau-Roßlauer might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for GWD Minden than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with GWD Minden that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dessau-Roßlauer than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dessau-Roßlauer could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

GWD Minden - Dessau Roßlauer Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 32:29

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Preview

In recent outings, Minden has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Dessau-Roßlauer has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Minden may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Dessau-Roßlauer has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.

Bookmakers give the edge to Minden for this game.

In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Minden has recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 138:132 (averaging 34.5:33 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Minden against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 68:69 goals (averaging 34:34.5 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
7	Minden	7	3	1	3	216:201	7
17	Dessauer	6	1	0	5	182:203	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- GWD Minden
German 2 Bundesliga Handball
26.09.26	Hüttenberg - GWD Minden	33:32 ✺
German DHB Pokal
23.09.26	Bietigheim - GWD Minden	32:34 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga Handball
20.09.26	GWD Minden - Nettelstedt-Lübbecke	30:24 ✺
13.09.26	Hamm-Westfalen - GWD Minden	28:27 ✺
06.09.26	GWD Minden - TUSEM Essen	34:34 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 LWWLT
- Dessau-Roßlauer HV
German 2 Bundesliga Handball
26.09.26	Dessau-Roßlauer - Potsdam	25:29 ✺
German DHB Pokal
23.09.26	Dessau-Roßlauer - Gummersbach	28:38 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga Handball
18.09.26	Ferndorf - Dessau-Roßlauer	39:33 ✺
11.09.26	Dessau-Roßlauer - Eintracht Hagen	31:32 ✺
04.09.26	Dessau-Roßlauer - TSG Friesenheim Ludwigshafen	31:29 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga Handball
31.05.25	GWD Minden - Dessau-Roßlauer	29:28
23.12.24	Dessau-Roßlauer - GWD Minden	28:35
06.04.24	Dessau-Roßlauer - GWD Minden	35:35
29.10.23	GWD Minden - Dessau-Roßlauer	39:41

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