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Current Win Probability
Gjerpen 45.2%
Draw 11.7%
Fredrikstad 43.1%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
50.6%
11.4%
38%
Our Initial ML Estimation
50.5%
11.4%
38.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gjerpen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gjerpen's form might have worsened.
Fredrikstad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Fredrikstad's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gjerpen than the current prediction. (+5.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gjerpen, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fredrikstad than the current prediction. (-5%)
Gjerpen - Fredrikstad Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 30:30
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Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gjerpen won 2.
In recent outings, Gjerpen has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Fredrikstad shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Fredrikstad may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Fredrikstad has had a run of games away from home.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 15 head-to-head meetings, Gjerpen has recorded 5 wins, 1 draw, and 9 losses, with a goal aggregate of 392:415 (averaging 26.1:27.7 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Gjerpen against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with 213:211 goals (averaging 26.6:26.4 per game).
Watch
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