Match Info

Champions League Women - Round 3

Date: 28 September 2025, Sunday

Location: TeraPlast Arena (Bistrița)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Hungary	Sport 1
Norway	Viaplay
Portugal	Sport TV5
Romania	Digi Sport 2, Prima Sport 2


	Gloria Bistrița		Metz

	1	X	2
	3.2	8.5	1.6	Watch
	2.9	10	1.51
	7.25	9.66	1.18	Watch
	3.36	10.2	1.48	Watch
	2.75	8.5	1.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.89 ↑ (2.7)	9.37 ↑ (8)	1.47 ↓ (1.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 58.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gloria Bistrița
24.6%

Draw
10.2%

Metz
65.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35%

11.8%

53.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.3%

12.6%

49.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gloria Bistrița has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gloria Bistrița's form might have worsened.

Metz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Metz's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gloria Bistrița than the current prediction. (+12.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gloria Bistrița, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Metz than the current prediction. (-15.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Metz, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Gloria Bistrița - Metz Predictions

Users Predictions: 1 users predict this event. Metz will win (votes: 1 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Metz (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 28:31

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Lineups


23. Arcos P.	11. Albek A.
87. Arruda R.	15. Augustine E. A.
14. Bazaliu B.	9. Axner T.
3. Burlachenko Y.	76. Borg L.
27. Fujita A.	27. Bouktit S.
19. Gassama K.	1. Bundsen J.
17. Gutierrez J.	2. Godard L.
8. Kobylinska M.	29. Grandveau L.
13. Laslo C.	28. Granier L.
9. Nusser L.	4. Gros B.
37. Ostase G.	23. Ngombele B.
1. Perseca A.	79. Novotna S.
30. Seraficeanu S.	22. Smits X.
10. So Delgado D.	38. Vamos P.
24. Stoica A.	10. Wajoka S.
21. Zimny A.

Preview

Both teams have triumphed in their latest matches.

Metz might have a minor edge in this game.

We predict that Metz will win today's game, with odds of 1.6.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Gloria Bistrița won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 54:62. (average 27:31).

Including home match between the teams, Gloria Bistrița won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 28:34.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CSM Gloria Bistrița Handball
Romanian Liga Nationala Handball Women
24.09.25	Gloria Bistrița - Baia Mare	32:22 ✺
EHF Champions League Women
13.09.25	Debreceni VSC - Gloria Bistrița	33:34 ✺
Romanian Liga Nationala Handball Women
10.09.25	Targu Jiu - Gloria Bistrița	23:31 ✺
EHF Champions League Women
06.09.25	Gloria Bistrița - Storhamar	29:26 ✺
Romanian Liga Nationala Handball Women
30.08.25	Gloria Bistrița - HC Zalău	35:19 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WWWWW
- Metz Handball
French Division 1 Handball Women
24.09.25	Saint-Amand - Metz	25:38 ✺
EHF Champions League Women
13.09.25	Metz - BVB Dortmund	38:29 ✺
French Division 1 Handball Women
10.09.25	Metz - HAC Handball	49:25 ✺
EHF Champions League Women
07.09.25	Esbjerg - Metz	29:30 ✺
French Division 1 Handball Women
03.09.25	Chambray Touraine - Metz	24:40 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

EHF Champions League Women
15.02.25	Gloria Bistrița - Metz	28:34
14.09.24	Metz - Gloria Bistrița	28:26

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