Match Info

Superliga Women - Winners stage - Round 26

Date: 1 May 2026, Friday


	Gniezno		Koszalin

	1	X	2
	1.39	9.2	3.65
	1.59	7.8	2.88	Watch
	1.53	8.5	2.88
	1.44	10.5	3.39
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↓ (1.59)	9 ↑ (7.99)	3.2 ↑ (2.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 56.25

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gniezno
61.3%

Draw
10.1%

Koszalin
28.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.8%

11.3%

31.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.9%

11.1%

31.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gniezno has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Koszalin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gniezno than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Koszalin than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Gniezno - Koszalin Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 30:27

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gniezno won 2.

Gniezno has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Koszalin is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Koszalin may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Koszalin has had a series of home games.

Gniezno will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Gniezno won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 420:438. (average 26.3:27.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Gniezno won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 208:211. (average 26:26.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
4	Gniezno W	5	3	0	0	2	154:132	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- MKS PR Gniezno
Polish Superliga Handball Women
22.04.26	Gniezno - Piotrcovia Piotrków Trybunalski	36:31 ✺
19.04.26	Zagłębie Lubin - Gniezno	29:19 ✺
28.03.26	Gniezno - Kobierzyce	24:36 ✺
21.03.26	Gniezno - MKS Lublin	26:28 ✺
11.03.26	Piotrcovia Piotrków Trybunalski - Gniezno	29:28 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WLLLL
- Energa AZS Koszalin
Polish Superliga Handball Women
26.04.26	Koszalin - Zagłębie Lubin	25:32 ✺
19.04.26	MKS Lublin - Koszalin	39:21 ✺
29.03.26	Koszalin - Piotrcovia Piotrków Trybunalski	28:29 ✺
Polish Cup Handball Women
25.03.26	Koszalin - Piotrcovia Piotrków Trybunalski	23:30 ✺
Polish Superliga Handball Women
19.03.26	Koszalin - Kobierzyce	24:34 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Superliga Handball Women
01.03.26	Koszalin - Gniezno	27:26
04.02.26	Gniezno - Koszalin	26:31
05.11.25	Koszalin - Gniezno	32:27
05.02.25	Gniezno - Koszalin	31:23
15.09.24	Koszalin - Gniezno	25:26
24.04.24	Koszalin - Gniezno	32:31
10.03.24	Gniezno - Koszalin	27:25

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