Match Info

Superliga Women - Round 16

Date: 27 January 2026, Tuesday


	Gniezno		Start Elbląg

	1	X	2
	1.4	9.5	3.6
	1.33	9	4.3
	1.29	8.16	4.89	Watch
	1.33	9	4
	1.29	10.7	4.59
	1.35	8.5	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↓ (1.36)	9.14 ↑ (8.11)	4.2 ↑ (4.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 59.75

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gniezno
68.4%

Draw
10%

Start Elbląg
21.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.7%

11.2%

22.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.7%

10%

24.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gniezno has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Start Elbląg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gniezno than the current prediction. (-8.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gniezno that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Start Elbląg than the current prediction. (+3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Gniezno - Start Elbląg Predictions

Users Predictions: 1 users predict this event. Start Elbląg will win (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 32:28

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gniezno won 3.

Gniezno is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Start Elbląg's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Gniezno is considered a favorite.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Gniezno won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 369:386. (average 28.4:29.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Gniezno won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 143:149. (average 28.6:29.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
4	Gniezno W	5	3	0	0	2	154:132	9
7	Start Elblag W	5	2	0	0	3	143:164	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- MKS PR Gniezno
Polish Superliga Handball Women
14.01.26	Kobierzyce - Gniezno	26:24 ✺
07.01.26	Gniezno - MKS Lublin	25:29 ✺
04.01.26	Zagłębie Lubin - Gniezno	45:37 ✺
28.12.25	Halychanka Lviv - Gniezno	37:35 ✺
20.12.25	Gniezno - Piotrcovia Piotrków Trybunalski	35:28 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LLLLW
- EB Start Elbląg
Polish Superliga Handball Women
18.01.26	Start Elbląg - Piotrcovia Piotrków Trybunalski	31:32 ✺
10.01.26	Sośnica Gliwice - Start Elbląg	30:27 ✺
04.01.26	Start Elbląg - Koszalin	22:26 ✺
27.12.25	Ruch Kalisz - Start Elbląg	34:37 ✺
21.12.25	Start Elbląg - Halychanka Lviv	34:33 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Superliga Handball Women
26.10.25	Start Elbląg - Gniezno	23:32
03.05.25	Gniezno - Start Elbląg	32:30 penalties
22.03.25	Start Elbląg - Gniezno	29:21
04.01.25	Gniezno - Start Elbląg	32:33
01.09.24	Start Elbląg - Gniezno	37:38 penalties
07.02.24	Start Elbląg - Gniezno	34:33 penalties
21.10.23	Gniezno - Start Elbląg	27:21

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