Match Info

EUROPE: EUROPEAN LEAGUE - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 1

Date: 17 October 2023, Tuesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Slovenia	Arena Sport


	Gorenje Velenje		Pfadi Winterthur

	1	X	2
	1.95	8	2.2	Watch
	1.95	9	2.2
	1.91	8.13	2.3	Watch
	1.91	7.5	2.15
	1.92	8	2.33
	1.88	8	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↓ (2.03)	8.11 ↓ (8.13)	2.25 ↑ (2.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 57.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gorenje Velenje
47.8%

Draw
11.3%

Pfadi Winterthur
40.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.1%

11.2%

43.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.8%

10.4%

40.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gorenje Velenje has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Pfadi Winterthur has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gorenje Velenje than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pfadi Winterthur than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Gorenje Velenje - Pfadi Winterthur Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 30:30

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Preview

Gorenje Velenje is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Pfadi Winterthur is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Gorenje Velenje could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Gorenje Velenje won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 65-52.

Including matches at home between the teams Gorenje Velenje won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 30-26.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RK Gorenje Velenje
Slovenian 1 NLB Liga Handball
14.10.23	Celje Pivovarna Laško - Gorenje Velenje	29:27 ✺
05.10.23	Gorenje Velenje - Ribnica	38:33 ✺
30.09.23	Ljubljana - Gorenje Velenje	28:43 ✺
23.09.23	Gorenje Velenje - Ivančna Gorica	29:22 ✺
17.09.23	Trimo Trebnje - Gorenje Velenje	22:24 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 LWWWW
- Pfadi Winterthur
Swiss NLA Handball
11.10.23	Chênois Genève - Pfadi Winterthur	28:33 ✺
08.10.23	Pfadi Winterthur - Bern Muri	27:29 ✺
04.10.23	HC Kriens-Luzern - Pfadi Winterthur	30:28 ✺
01.10.23	Pfadi Winterthur - Wacker Thun	29:26 ✺
27.09.23	Kadetten Schaffhausen - Pfadi Winterthur	29:27 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

EHF European League
08.03.15	Gorenje Velenje - Pfadi Winterthur	30:26
28.02.15	Pfadi Winterthur - Gorenje Velenje	26:35

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