Match Info

CROATIA: PREMIJER LIGA - ROUND 11

Date: 22 November 2023, Wednesday


	Gorica		Sesvete

	1	X	2
	2.54	7.55	1.8
	2.6	7.5	1.65
	3	8.4	1.56
	3.05	8.6	1.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.8 ↑ (2)	8.01 ↑ (8)	1.64 ↓ (2.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 56.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gorica
32.7%

Draw
11.4%

Sesvete
55.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.4%

11.4%

43.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.9%

11.8%

41.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gorica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gorica's form might have worsened.

Sesvete has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sesvete's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gorica than the current prediction. (+14.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gorica, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sesvete than the current prediction. (-14%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sesvete, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Gorica - Sesvete Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 27:29

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Gorica won 0.

Gorica is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Sesvete is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Gorica could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Gorica won 8 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 544-542.

Including matches at home between the teams Gorica won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 251-236.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HRK Gorica
Croatian Premijer Liga Handball
18.11.23	PPD Zagreb - Gorica	35:24 ✺
12.11.23	Gorica - HRK Karlovac	36:25 ✺
29.10.23	Varazdin - Gorica	28:28 ✺
21.10.23	Osijek - Gorica	27:26 ✺
18.10.23	Gorica - Trogir	24:26 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 LWTLL
- MRK Sesvete
Croatian Premijer Liga Handball
19.11.23	Moslavina - Sesvete	22:26 ✺
11.11.23	Sesvete - PPD Zagreb	25:29 ✺
28.10.23	HRK Karlovac - Sesvete	27:37 ✺
18.10.23	Varazdin - Sesvete	31:37 ✺
11.10.23	Sesvete - Osijek	32:18 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Croatian Premijer Liga Handball
01.10.23	Sesvete - Gorica	33:33
30.03.23	Sesvete - Gorica	37:30
04.02.23	Gorica - Sesvete	23:30
29.05.22	Sesvete - Gorica	28:25
25.05.22	Gorica - Sesvete	26:26
22.05.22	Sesvete - Gorica	25:25
08.05.22	Gorica - Sesvete	30:31

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