Match Info

POLAND: SUPERLIGA - ROUND 24

Date: 22 April 2023, Saturday


	Gwardia Opole		Pogoń Szczecin

	1	X	2
	1.83	8.5	2.3
	1.89	7.5	2.28
	1.8	8.5	2.38
	1.77	8.8	2.41
	1.79	8.6	2.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↑ (1.65)	8.38 ↓ (9)	2.36 ↓ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 55.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gwardia Opole
50.3%

Draw
10.9%

Pogoń Szczecin
38.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.4%

10.3%

33.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.3%

10.8%

31.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gwardia Opole has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gwardia Opole's form might have worsened.

Pogoń Szczecin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Pogoń Szczecin's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gwardia Opole than the current prediction. (+9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gwardia Opole, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pogoń Szczecin than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pogoń Szczecin, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Gwardia Opole - Pogoń Szczecin Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 29:29

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Gwardia Opole won 3.

Gwardia Opole has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Pogoń Szczecin is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 21 head-to-head matches Gwardia Opole won 13 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 568-537.

Including matches at home between the teams Gwardia Opole won 9 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 286-253.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gwardia Opole
Polish Superliga Handball
15.04.23	Piotrkowianin Piotrków - Gwardia Opole	34:29 ✺
05.04.23	Gwardia Opole - Wisła Płock	23:38 ✺
02.04.23	Unia Tarnów - Gwardia Opole	31:24 ✺
Polish Cup Handball
28.03.23	Gwardia Opole - Puławy	29:31 penalties ✺
Polish Superliga Handball
25.03.23	Gwardia Opole - Górnik Zabrze	22:29 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Gaz-System Pogoń Szczecin
Polish Superliga Handball
18.04.23	Pogoń Szczecin - MMTS Kwidzyn	26:27 ✺
06.04.23	Kalisz - Pogoń Szczecin	25:26 ✺
01.04.23	Pogoń Szczecin - Zagłębie Lubin	35:28 ✺
25.03.23	Pogoń Szczecin - Piotrkowianin Piotrków	25:27 ✺
18.03.23	Wisła Płock - Pogoń Szczecin	35:20 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly Hanbdall
11.01.23	Gwardia Opole - Pogoń Szczecin	27:28
Polish Superliga Handball
19.11.22	Pogoń Szczecin - Gwardia Opole	35:29
23.04.22	Gwardia Opole - Pogoń Szczecin	29:28 penalties
20.11.21	Pogoń Szczecin - Gwardia Opole	23:30
Club Friendly Hanbdall
14.08.21	Gwardia Opole - Pogoń Szczecin	32:28
Polish Superliga Handball
17.04.21	Pogoń Szczecin - Gwardia Opole	30:24
24.10.20	Gwardia Opole - Pogoń Szczecin	28:21

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