Match Info

POLAND: Superliga - Losers stage - Round 5

Date: 11 May 2024, Saturday


	Gwardia Opole		Unia Tarnów

	1	X	2
	1.55	10	2.85
	1.5	8.28	3.36
	1.44	8.5	3.1
	1.49	8.5	3.36
	1.48	9.2	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↓ (1.7)	8.9 ↓ (9)	3.21 ↑ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 54.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gwardia Opole
61.3%

Draw
10.3%

Unia Tarnów
28.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55%

10.4%

34.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.3%

10.5%

34.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gwardia Opole has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gwardia Opole's performance.

Unia Tarnów has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Unia Tarnów might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gwardia Opole than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gwardia Opole that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unia Tarnów than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Unia Tarnów could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Gwardia Opole - Unia Tarnów Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 29:26

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Lineups


1. Alaj J.	22. Adamski J.
71. Chychykalo R.	17. Bushkou A.
11. Hryniewicz M.	12. Kazimier P.
18. Jankowski M.	21. Malecki P.
88. Jendryca D.	15. Malek K.
20. Kawka W.	25. Parovinchak V.
8. Langowski A.	9. Podsiadlo P.
16. Malcher A.	8. Sanek A.
22. Milewski M.	28. Sikora J.
35. Monczka M.	23. Slupski M.
24. Scislowicz M.	19. Smolikau D.
15. Stempin P.	88. Tokarz J.
43. Wandzel J.	5. Watroba K.
17. Widomski A.	4. Zdobylak M.
7. Wojdan M.
9. Zawadzki P.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Gwardia Opole won 2.

Recent matches Gwardia Opole is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Unia Tarnów is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Gwardia Opole is a favorite.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Gwardia Opole won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 342-343.

Including matches at home between the teams Gwardia Opole won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 168-155.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gwardia Opole
Polish Superliga Handball
28.04.24	Gwardia Opole - Piotrkowianin Piotrków	27:26 ✺
21.04.24	Gwardia Opole - Zagłębie Lubin	27:28 ✺
13.04.24	Wybrzeże Gdańsk - Gwardia Opole	31:29 ✺
06.04.24	Legionowo - Gwardia Opole	18:30 ✺
30.03.24	Gwardia Opole - Wybrzeże Gdańsk	29:33 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WLLWL
- Unia Tarnów Handball
Polish Superliga Handball
27.04.24	Legionowo - Unia Tarnów	27:28 ✺
19.04.24	Unia Tarnów - Wybrzeże Gdańsk	25:33 ✺
13.04.24	Unia Tarnów - Piotrkowianin Piotrków	29:21 ✺
08.04.24	Unia Tarnów - Zagłębie Lubin	29:20 ✺
30.03.24	Piotrkowianin Piotrków - Unia Tarnów	26:27 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Superliga Handball
13.12.23	Unia Tarnów - Gwardia Opole	29:26
07.09.23	Gwardia Opole - Unia Tarnów	30:26
02.04.23	Unia Tarnów - Gwardia Opole	31:24
Polish Cup Handball
10.03.23	Gwardia Opole - Unia Tarnów	24:20
Polish Superliga Handball
23.10.22	Gwardia Opole - Unia Tarnów	27:32
12.03.22	Gwardia Opole - Unia Tarnów	29:26
14.10.21	Unia Tarnów - Gwardia Opole	27:24

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