Match Info

Starligue - Round 24

Date: 19 April 2026, Sunday


	HBC Nantes		Montpellier HB

	1	X	2
	1.5	8.5	3.5
	1.4	8.4	3.75	Watch
	1.37	8.39	4.11	Watch
	1.4	8.5	3.5
	1.41	9.8	3.67	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↑ (1.4)	8.72 ↓ (9.03)	3.71 ↓ (3.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 63.75

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

HBC Nantes
64.7%

Draw
10.5%

Montpellier HB
24.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.8%

10.2%

23.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.6%

10.2%

24%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

HBC Nantes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Montpellier HB has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for HBC Nantes than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montpellier HB than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

HBC Nantes - Montpellier HB Predictions

Users Predictions: HBC Nantes will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 34:31

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nantes won 4.

Nantes has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Montpellier's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Nantes may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Nantes is the team to beat.

We predict that Nantes will win today's game, with odds of 1.48.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Nantes won 13 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 599:577. (average 30:28.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Nantes won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 243:229. (average 30.4:28.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
2	Nantes	5	4	0	1	172:141	8
4	Montpellier	5	3	1	1	173:146	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HBC Nantes
Coupe de France Handball
15.04.26	USAM Nimes - HBC Nantes	30:35 ✺
French Starligue Handball
12.04.26	Fenix Toulouse - HBC Nantes	25:30 ✺
EHF Champions League
08.04.26	HBC Nantes - GOG	40:28 ✺
French Starligue Handball
04.04.26	HBC Nantes - Selestat AHB	33:32 ✺
EHF Champions League
01.04.26	GOG - HBC Nantes	33:34 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WWWWW
- Montpellier HB
Coupe de France Handball
15.04.26	Montpellier HB - Paris Saint-Germain	39:35 ✺
French Starligue Handball
11.04.26	Montpellier HB - Dunkerque	38:27 ✺
EHF European League
07.04.26	Elverum - Montpellier HB	35:31 ✺
French Starligue Handball
04.04.26	Tremblay - Montpellier HB	36:35 ✺
EHF European League
31.03.26	Montpellier HB - Elverum	36:24 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

French Starligue Handball
18.10.25	Montpellier HB - HBC Nantes	31:31
15.02.25	Montpellier HB - HBC Nantes	27:29
29.09.24	HBC Nantes - Montpellier HB	29:26
17.05.24	Montpellier HB - HBC Nantes	31:33
19.12.23	HBC Nantes - Montpellier HB	31:30
Coupe de France Handball
10.06.23	Montpellier HB - HBC Nantes	33:39
French Starligue Handball
08.04.23	HBC Nantes - Montpellier HB	29:28

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