The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
HBW Balingen-Weilstetten 62.9%
Draw 10.7%
Bergischer 26.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
51.2%
10.8%
38%
Our Initial ML Estimation
52.5%
10.5%
37.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
HBW Balingen-Weilstetten has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in HBW Balingen-Weilstetten's performance.
Bergischer has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bergischer might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for HBW Balingen-Weilstetten than the current prediction. (-10.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with HBW Balingen-Weilstetten that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bergischer than the current prediction. (+10.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bergischer could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
HBW Balingen Weilstetten - Bergischer Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 31:28
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Preview
A mid-table side takes on an opponent fighting to pull away from the danger zone (ranked 13th and 18th in the Relegation - 2. Bundesliga).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Balingen-Weilstetten won 1.
In recent outings, Balingen-Weilstetten has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Bergischer is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Balingen-Weilstetten could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Balingen-Weilstetten is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Balingen-Weilstetten has recorded 7 wins, 2 draws, and 11 losses, with a goal aggregate of 498:517 (averaging 24.9:25.9 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Balingen-Weilstetten against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 1 draw, and 4 losses, with 267:268 goals (averaging 26.7:26.8 per game).