Match Info

1. Division - Round 14

Date: 6 December 2025, Saturday


	HC København		Aarhus

	1	X	2
	5.2	12	1.21
	5.45	9.28	1.24
	5.5	10	1.2
	5.18	12.5	1.23
	5.66	10	1.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.4 ↑ (4.25)	10.76 ↑ (8.5)	1.22 ↓ (1.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 56.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

HC København
16.8%

Draw
8.4%

Aarhus
74.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.2%

10.6%

68.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.8%

10.4%

69.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

HC København has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Aarhus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Aarhus's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for HC København than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aarhus than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Aarhus, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

HC København - Aarhus Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 26:31

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Preview

HC København has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Aarhus has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Aarhus may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Aarhus is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, HC København won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 24:30.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC København
Danish 1 Division Handball
28.11.25	HC København - Skive FH	30:30 ✺
23.11.25	Give - HC København	29:27 ✺
15.11.25	HC København - KIF Kolding	20:30 ✺
08.11.25	Odder HB - HC København	27:21 ✺
24.10.25	HC København - TIK Taastrup	22:30 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 TLLLL
- Aarhus Handbold
Danish 1 Division Handball
28.11.25	Vendsyssel - Aarhus	21:25 ✺
21.11.25	Aarhus - Sydhavsøerne	27:32 ✺
16.11.25	Tønder - Aarhus	27:26 ✺
08.11.25	Aarhus - Rækker Mølle	37:35 ✺
24.10.25	Lemvig-Thyborøn - Aarhus	29:33 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Danish 1 Division Handball
31.08.25	Aarhus - HC København	30:24

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