Match Info

1. Division - Round 6

Date: 5 October 2025, Sunday


	HC København		Tønder

	1	X	2
	3.85	8.8	1.38
	2.95	8.33	1.58	Watch
	3.55	9.9	1.4
	3.55	9.9	1.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.48 ↑ (3.37)	9.23 ↑ (8.5)	1.44 ↓ (1.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 58.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

HC København
26.4%

Draw
9.9%

Tønder
63.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27%

10.7%

62.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.1%

10.7%

62.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

HC København has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Tønder has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for HC København than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tønder than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

HC København - Tønder Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 28:31

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Preview

HC København is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Tønder has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Tønder may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Tønder is considered a favorite.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC København
Danish 1 Division Handball
27.09.25	Rækker Mølle - HC København	33:31 ✺
20.09.25	HC København - Lemvig-Thyborøn	30:30 ✺
13.09.25	Midtjylland - HC København	34:29 ✺
06.09.25	HC København - Norddjurs	33:35 ✺
31.08.25	Aarhus - HC København	30:24 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0.9 LTLLL
- TM Tønder Håndbold
Danish 1 Division Handball
28.09.25	Tønder - Vendsyssel	23:31 ✺
20.09.25	Sydhavsøerne - Tønder	26:24 ✺
14.09.25	Tønder - TIK Taastrup	30:20 ✺
07.09.25	Tønder - Rækker Mølle	37:24 ✺
31.08.25	Lemvig-Thyborøn - Tønder	25:33 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LLWWW

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