Match Info

CROATIA: Premijer liga - Round 10

Date: 16 November 2024, Saturday


	HRK Karlovac		Dubrava

	1	X	2
	1.74	8.4	2.47
	1.76	8.1	2.52
	1.7	8.5	2.45
	1.73	7.8	2.59
	1.74	8.4	2.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↓ (1.85)	8.24 ↑ (8)	2.5 ↑ (2.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 56.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

HRK Karlovac
52.5%

Draw
11.1%

Dubrava
36.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.5%

11.5%

39%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.8%

12.2%

41.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

HRK Karlovac has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Dubrava has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for HRK Karlovac than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with HRK Karlovac that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dubrava than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

HRK Karlovac - Dubrava Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 29:29

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Karlovac won 2.

Karlovac has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Dubrava is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recently Dubrava have a series of home games.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Karlovac won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 198:205 (average 28.3:29.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Karlovac won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 98:94 (average 32.7:31.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HRK Karlovac
Croatian Premijer Liga Handball
02.11.24	Gorica - HRK Karlovac	35:22 ✺
30.10.24	HRK Karlovac - Spačva Vinkovci	24:31 ✺
26.10.24	HRK Karlovac - Varazdin	32:39 ✺
05.10.24	HRK Karlovac - Medjimurje	31:35 ✺
29.09.24	Moslavina - HRK Karlovac	34:23 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- RK Dubrava
Croatian Premijer Liga Handball
03.11.24	Dubrava - Moslavina	36:36 ✺
27.10.24	Dubrava - Gorica	24:44 ✺
19.10.24	Dubrava - Varazdin	30:30 ✺
12.10.24	Spačva Vinkovci - Dubrava	31:29 ✺
02.10.24	Dubrava - Nexe	26:41 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 TLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Croatian Premijer Liga Handball
20.09.24	Dubrava - HRK Karlovac	26:28
07.04.24	Dubrava - HRK Karlovac	30:23
17.02.24	HRK Karlovac - Dubrava	32:36
12.12.21	Dubrava - HRK Karlovac	26:25
16.10.21	HRK Karlovac - Dubrava	31:27
03.12.17	Dubrava - HRK Karlovac	29:24
23.09.17	HRK Karlovac - Dubrava	35:31

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