Match Info

CROATIA: Premijer liga - Round 7

Date: 30 October 2024, Wednesday


	HRK Karlovac		Spačva Vinkovci

	1	X	2
	3.6	9.2	1.4
	3.58	9.04	1.43
	3.6	9	1.4
	3.56	8.8	1.43
	3.6	9.2	1.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.59 ↑ (2.82)	9.05 ↑ (8)	1.41 ↓ (1.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 57.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

HRK Karlovac
25.4%

Draw
10.1%

Spačva Vinkovci
64.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.3%

11.4%

56.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.8%

11.2%

57.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

HRK Karlovac has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that HRK Karlovac's form might have worsened.

Spačva Vinkovci has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Spačva Vinkovci's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for HRK Karlovac than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for HRK Karlovac, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spačva Vinkovci than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Spačva Vinkovci, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

HRK Karlovac - Spačva Vinkovci Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 28:31

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Preview

Karlovac is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Spačva Vinkovci is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Karlovac could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Spačva Vinkovci will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Karlovac won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 117:120 (average 29.3:30).

Including matches at home between the teams Karlovac won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 56:63 (average 28:31.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HRK Karlovac
Croatian Premijer Liga Handball
26.10.24	HRK Karlovac - Varazdin	32:39 ✺
05.10.24	HRK Karlovac - Medjimurje	31:35 ✺
29.09.24	Moslavina - HRK Karlovac	34:23 ✺
20.09.24	Dubrava - HRK Karlovac	26:28 ✺
14.09.24	HRK Karlovac - Gorica	24:32 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 LLLWL
- RK Spačva Vinkovci
Croatian Premijer Liga Handball
26.10.24	Medjimurje - Spačva Vinkovci	33:32 ✺
12.10.24	Spačva Vinkovci - Dubrava	31:29 ✺
06.10.24	Gorica - Spačva Vinkovci	35:27 ✺
28.09.24	Spačva Vinkovci - Varazdin	32:26 ✺
21.09.24	Spačva Vinkovci - Moslavina	32:23 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Croatian Premijer Liga Handball
13.11.21	HRK Karlovac - Spačva Vinkovci	30:36
18.09.21	Spačva Vinkovci - HRK Karlovac	30:35
24.02.18	HRK Karlovac - Spačva Vinkovci	26:27
04.11.17	Spačva Vinkovci - HRK Karlovac	27:26

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