Match Info

HLA - Round 3

Date: 7 October 2026, Wednesday


	HSG Graz		Fivers Margareten

	1	X	2
	2.00	8.00	2.05
	2.02	8.50	2.08
	2.01	6.8	2.19	Watch
	2.00	9.00	2.05
	2.11	8.70	1.98	Watch
	2.08	8.00	2.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↑ (1.76)	8.17 ↑ (6.7)	2.08 ↓ (2.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 63.25

The most likely Handicap: (0)

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

HSG Graz
44.9%

Draw
11.2%

Fivers Margareten
43.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.6%

13.3%

36.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.2%

12.4%

33.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

HSG Graz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that HSG Graz's form might have worsened.

Fivers Margareten has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Fivers Margareten's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for HSG Graz than the current prediction. (+9.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for HSG Graz, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fivers Margareten than the current prediction. (-10.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Fivers Margareten, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

HSG Graz - Fivers Margareten Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. HSG Graz will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Fivers Margareten will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Fivers Margareten (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 32:32

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, HSG Graz won 2.

Both teams enter this match with positive momentum from recent weeks.

HSG Graz may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, HSG Graz has recorded 3 wins, 0 draws, and 17 losses, with a goal aggregate of 587:692 (averaging 29.4:34.6 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for HSG Graz against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 7 losses, with 278:308 goals (averaging 30.9:34.2 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
1	Aon Fivers	5	4	0	1	183:158	8
5	HSG Graz	5	3	0	2	163:166	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HSG Graz
Austrian NLA Handball
04.10.26	HSG Graz - Bregenz	35:32 ✺
26.09.26	Linz - HSG Graz	36:29 ✺
11.09.26	Bärnbach Köflach - HSG Graz	29:30 ✺
05.09.26	HSG Graz - Krems	35:32 ✺
Club Friendly Hanbdall
21.08.26	HSG Graz - Union Leoben	35:31 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WLWWW
- Fivers WAT Margareten
Austrian NLA Handball
03.10.26	Füchse - Fivers Margareten	31:38 ✺
26.09.26	Fivers Margareten - Tirol	32:34 ✺
EHF European Cup
19.09.26	Fivers Margareten - Giresunspor	47:27
13.09.26	Giresunspor - Fivers Margareten	28:40
Austrian NLA Handball
09.09.26	Fivers Margareten - Atzgersdorf	42:27 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Austrian NLA Handball
07.02.26	Fivers Margareten - HSG Graz	29:33
06.09.25	HSG Graz - Fivers Margareten	32:31
15.02.25	Fivers Margareten - HSG Graz	39:27
Austrian OHB Cup
11.02.25	Fivers Margareten - HSG Graz	30:27
Austrian NLA Handball
28.09.24	HSG Graz - Fivers Margareten	27:36
02.03.24	Fivers Margareten - HSG Graz	30:24
25.10.23	HSG Graz - Fivers Margareten	31:39

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