Match Info

DENMARK: 1. DIVISION WOMEN - ROUND 21

Date: 16 March 2024, Saturday


	Hadsten		DHG

	1	X	2
	1.55	8.2	3.05
	1.64	7.8	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↓ (1.81)	8 ↑ (7.8)	2.9 ↑ (2.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 52.75

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 9.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hadsten
57.2%

Draw
11.4%

DHG
31.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.6%

11.7%

37.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49%

12.1%

38.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hadsten has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hadsten's performance.

DHG has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and DHG might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hadsten than the current prediction. (-8.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hadsten that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for DHG than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that DHG could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Hadsten - DHG Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 27:25

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Hadsten won 2.

The competitors look crappy now.

Hadsten will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Hadsten won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 256-271.

Including matches at home between the teams Hadsten won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 134-129.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hadsten SK
Danish 1 Division Handball Women
09.03.24	Hadsten - Sondermarkens	28:31 ✺
23.02.24	Tvis Holstebro - Hadsten	27:24 ✺
15.02.24	Hadsten - Ejstrup Haervejen	25:26 ✺
10.02.24	HOJ - Hadsten	29:26 ✺
02.02.24	Hadsten - AGF Århus	27:23 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LLLLW
- DHG Håndbold
Danish 1 Division Handball Women
09.03.24	DHG - Fredericia	23:23 ✺
24.02.24	Ringsted - DHG	37:24 ✺
18.02.24	DHG - Sondermarkens	32:36 ✺
10.02.24	DHG - Aalborg HK	37:17 ✺
03.02.24	EH Aalborg - DHG	25:24 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 TLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Danish 1 Division Handball Women
16.12.23	DHG - Hadsten	27:27
19.03.23	DHG - Hadsten	22:22
10.09.22	Hadsten - DHG	28:22
26.02.22	Hadsten - DHG	27:26
13.11.21	DHG - Hadsten	34:20
10.04.21	Hadsten - DHG	28:31
21.11.20	DHG - Hadsten	28:27

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