Match Info

GERMANY: BUNDESLIGA - ROUND 17

Date: 15 December 2022, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	Sky Sport Mix, Sky Sport Top event


	Hamm-Westfalen		TBV Lemgo

	1	X	2
	4.5	9.5	1.37	Watch
	4.33	12.5	1.34	Watch
	4.3	9.5	1.34
	4.1	10	1.36
	4	10	1.35
	3.94	9.3	1.4	Watch
	4.2	11	1.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.2 ↑ (3.94)	10.26 ↑ (8.34)	1.36 ↓ (1.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 59.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hamm-Westfalen
22.3%

Draw
9.1%

TBV Lemgo
68.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.7%

11.2%

65.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.5%

11.6%

62.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hamm-Westfalen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

TBV Lemgo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hamm-Westfalen than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for TBV Lemgo than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for TBV Lemgo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	16.7%	83.3%

Hamm Westfalen - TBV Lemgo Predictions

Users Predictions: TBV Lemgo will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 29:32

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga and 12).

Hamm-Westfalen has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Lemgo is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Lemgo is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Hamm-Westfalen won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 72-89.

Including matches at home between the teams Hamm-Westfalen won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 72-89.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ASV Hamm-Westfalen
German Bundesliga Handball
08.12.22	HSV Hamburg - Hamm-Westfalen	32:25 ✺
04.12.22	Hamm-Westfalen - Hannover-Burgdorf	29:29 ✺
24.11.22	GWD Minden - Hamm-Westfalen	32:23 ✺
19.11.22	Hamm-Westfalen - Bergischer	27:31 ✺
13.11.22	SC DHfK Leipzig - Hamm-Westfalen	33:23 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LTLLL
- TBV Lemgo
German Bundesliga Handball
08.12.22	TBV Lemgo - HSG Wetzlar	34:29 ✺
04.12.22	Magdeburg - TBV Lemgo	37:33 ✺
27.11.22	TBV Lemgo - Erlangen	34:27 ✺
20.11.22	Füchse Berlin - TBV Lemgo	32:26 ✺
13.11.22	Rhein-Neckar Löwen - TBV Lemgo	37:28 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly Hanbdall
16.09.20	Hamm-Westfalen - TBV Lemgo	22:31
German DHB Pokal
19.08.18	Hamm-Westfalen - TBV Lemgo	25:31
Club Friendly Hanbdall
14.08.18	Hamm-Westfalen - TBV Lemgo	25:27

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