Match Info

Date: 1 November 2020, Sunday


	Herulf Moss		Kristiansand

	1	X	2
	4.5	11	1.25
	4.1	10	1.3
	4.9	11	1.2
	6.3	14	1.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.95 ↑ (3.44)	11.5 ↑ (9.25)	1.23 ↓ (1.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 55.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Herulf Moss
18.4%

Draw
7.9%

Kristiansand
73.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.2%

9.7%

64.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.2%

69.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Herulf Moss has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Herulf Moss's form might have worsened.

Kristiansand has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Kristiansand's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Herulf Moss than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Herulf Moss, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kristiansand than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	6.7%	93.3%

Herulf Moss - Kristiansand Predictions

Users Predictions: Kristiansand will win (14 of 15 users predict this - 93.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 80.7% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 26:30

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Preview

Herulf Moss is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Kristiansand is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Herulf Moss could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Kristiansand is indisputable favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Herulf Moss won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 55-52.

Including matches at home between the teams Herulf Moss won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 27-27.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HK Herulf Moss
Norwegian 1 Division Handball
28.10.20	Herulf Moss - Nøtterøy	31:34 ✺
11.10.20	St. Hallvard - Herulf Moss	32:24 ✺
04.10.20	Herulf Moss - Viking TIF Bergen	21:31 ✺
30.09.20	Herulf Moss - Sandnes	26:24 ✺
20.09.20	Vikhammer - Herulf Moss	27:26 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LLLWL
- Kristiansand Topphåndball
Norwegian 1 Division Handball
28.10.20	Kristiansand - Vikhammer	32:23 ✺
25.10.20	Nøtterøy - Kristiansand	31:28 ✺
18.10.20	Kristiansand - Oslo-Studentenes	31:24 ✺
10.10.20	Falk - Kristiansand	25:28 ✺
30.09.20	Kristiansand - Charlottenlund	34:21 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian 1 Division Handball
21.02.18	Herulf Moss - Kristiansand	27:27
12.11.17	Kristiansand - Herulf Moss	25:28

Herulf Moss - Kristiansand: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide