Match Info

SWEDEN: Allsvenskan

Date: 30 October 2024, Wednesday


	IFK Karlskrona		Aranäs

	1	X	2
	4.2	9.8	1.32
	4.29	10.32	1.35	Watch
	4.2	10	1.3
	4.3	9.3	1.34
	4.2	9.8	1.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.24 ↑ (4.09)	9.84 ↑ (9.5)	1.33 (1.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 57.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

IFK Karlskrona
21.6%

Draw
9.3%

Aranäs
69.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.2%

9.6%

68.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.4%

8.8%

74.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

IFK Karlskrona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Aranäs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for IFK Karlskrona than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aranäs than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Aranäs could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

IFK Karlskrona - Aranäs Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 27:31

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches IFK Karlskrona won 1.

IFK Karlskrona is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Aranäs is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Aranäs is a favorite.

Last 11 head-to-head matches IFK Karlskrona won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 293:288 (average 26.6:26.2).

Including matches at home between the teams IFK Karlskrona won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 158:156 (average 26.3:26).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- IFK Karlskrona
Swedish Allsvenskan Handball
26.10.24	Torslanda - IFK Karlskrona	34:27 ✺
22.10.24	IFK Karlskrona - Lagan	29:28 ✺
13.10.24	Tumba - IFK Karlskrona	31:23 ✺
05.10.24	IFK Karlskrona - Tyresö	23:23 ✺
29.09.24	Drott - IFK Karlskrona	28:24 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LWLTL
- HK Aranäs
Swedish Allsvenskan Handball
26.10.24	Aranäs - Varberg	34:34 ✺
19.10.24	Lugi - Aranäs	34:27 ✺
13.10.24	Aranäs - VästeråsIrsta	24:34 ✺
06.10.24	Anderstorps - Aranäs	31:39 ✺
29.09.24	Lagan - Aranäs	24:36 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 TLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Elitserien Handball
01.04.21	Aranäs - IFK Karlskrona	28:27
27.03.21	Aranäs - IFK Karlskrona	25:23
24.03.21	IFK Karlskrona - Aranäs	25:29
Swedish Allsvenskan Handball
23.01.20	Aranäs - IFK Karlskrona	32:22
15.11.19	IFK Karlskrona - Aranäs	25:22
Swedish Elitserien Handball
14.03.18	IFK Karlskrona - Aranäs	31:26
08.10.17	Aranäs - IFK Karlskrona	23:34

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