Match Info

Allsvenskan - Round 10

Date: 29 November 2025, Saturday


	IFK Ystad		Lugi

	1	X	2
	2.7	8	1.72
	2.41	9.5	1.77
	2.62	8.5	1.63
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.58 ↓ (3.1)	8.67 ↓ (9)	1.71 ↑ (1.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 63.25

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

IFK Ystad
35.6%

Draw
10.6%

Lugi
53.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.1%

10%

60.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.6%

9.5%

64.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

IFK Ystad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in IFK Ystad's performance.

Lugi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lugi might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for IFK Ystad than the current prediction. (-8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with IFK Ystad that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lugi than the current prediction. (+10.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lugi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

IFK Ystad - Lugi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 31:33

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, IFK Ystad won 3.

IFK Ystad has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Lugi is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

In this match, Lugi is seen as the favorite.

We predict that Lugi will win today's game, with odds of 1.47.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, IFK Ystad won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 334:340. (average 25.7:26.2).

Including home matches between the teams, IFK Ystad won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 170:175. (average 24.3:25).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- IFK Ystad HK
Swedish Allsvenskan Handball
22.11.25	Torslanda - IFK Ystad	34:33 ✺
15.11.25	IFK Ystad - Tumba	31:31 ✺
09.11.25	Redbergslids - IFK Ystad	36:33 ✺
25.10.25	IFK Ystad - Enköping	41:26 ✺
18.10.25	Kroppskultur - IFK Ystad	29:28 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 LTLWL
- Lugi HF
Swedish Allsvenskan Handball
23.11.25	Lugi - Drott	38:33 ✺
16.11.25	Lugi - Vinslovs	40:31 ✺
08.11.25	Enköping - Lugi	31:40 ✺
22.10.25	Lugi - H43 Lund	28:26 ✺
18.10.25	Skånela - Lugi	33:30 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Allsvenskan Handball
24.02.25	Lugi - IFK Ystad	27:33
28.09.24	IFK Ystad - Lugi	31:29
Swedish Elitserien Handball
19.12.21	Lugi - IFK Ystad	29:27
01.12.21	IFK Ystad - Lugi	21:32
23.02.21	IFK Ystad - Lugi	28:26
27.09.20	Lugi - IFK Ystad	28:28
28.02.20	Lugi - IFK Ystad	30:30

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