Match Info

A1 - Round 6

Date: 18 October 2025, Saturday


	Ionikos Nea Filadelfeia		Vrilissia

	1	X	2
	1.43	9.9	3.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↓ (1.71)	9.9 ↑ (8)	3.36 ↑ (2.5)

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ionikos Nea Filadelfeia
63.7%

Draw
9.2%

Vrilissia
27.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.7%

11.3%

36%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.2%

10.8%

34.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ionikos Nea Filadelfeia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ionikos Nea Filadelfeia's performance.

Vrilissia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Vrilissia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ionikos Nea Filadelfeia than the current prediction. (-8.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ionikos Nea Filadelfeia that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vrilissia than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vrilissia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
7.7%	0%	92.3%

Ionikos Nea Filadelfeia - Vrilissia Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Ionikos NF will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). Vrilissia will win (votes: 12 - 92.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Vrilissia: 77.8% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Ionikos NF (1.20) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Ionikos NF (1.17) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Vrilissia will win (10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 14 Selected Experts predict this event. Ionikos NF (votes: 4 - 28.6%). Vrilissia (votes: 10 - 71.4%).

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Preview

Ionikos NF has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Vrilissia is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Ionikos NF will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ionikos NF won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 141:136. (average 28.2:27.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Ionikos NF won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 58:50. (average 29:25).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ionikos Nea Filadelfeia
Greek A1 Handball
11.10.25	PAOK - Ionikos Nea Filadelfeia	31:25 ✺
04.10.25	Ionikos Nea Filadelfeia - Olympiacos	28:29 ✺
01.10.25	Drama - Ionikos Nea Filadelfeia	21:38 ✺
27.09.25	Ionikos Nea Filadelfeia - Feronas Veroias	41:33 ✺
21.09.25	AEK Athens - Ionikos Nea Filadelfeia	32:23 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LLWWL
- ESN Vrilissia
Greek A1 Handball
11.10.25	Vrilissia - Doukas	35:30 ✺
05.10.25	Diomidis Argous - Vrilissia	27:24 ✺
01.10.25	PAOK - Vrilissia	24:23 ✺
27.09.25	Vrilissia - Olympiacos	22:36 ✺
20.09.25	Drama - Vrilissia	37:31 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Greek A1 Handball
22.03.25	Ionikos Nea Filadelfeia - Vrilissia	29:21
Greek Cup Handball
22.01.25	Vrilissia - Ionikos Nea Filadelfeia	28:23
Greek A1 Handball
30.11.24	Vrilissia - Ionikos Nea Filadelfeia	29:32
17.12.22	Ionikos Nea Filadelfeia - Vrilissia	29:29
24.09.22	Vrilissia - Ionikos Nea Filadelfeia	29:28

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