Match Info

1. NLB Liga - Losers stage - Round 4

Date: 25 April 2026, Saturday


	Ivančna Gorica		Ribnica

	1	X	2
	1.57	8	2.95
	1.56	7.81	2.98	Watch
	1.53	8	2.88
	1.59	9	2.89
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↓ (1.76)	8.2 ↓ (11.65)	2.93 ↑ (2.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 59.75

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ivančna Gorica
58%

Draw
11%

Ribnica
31%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.4%

7.8%

40.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54%

7.4%

38.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ivančna Gorica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ivančna Gorica's performance.

Ribnica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ribnica might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ivančna Gorica than the current prediction. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ribnica than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ribnica could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Ivančna Gorica - Ribnica Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 31:29

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ivančna Gorica won 3.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Ivančna Gorica might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Ivančna Gorica won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 342:372. (average 28.5:31).

Including home matches between the teams, Ivančna Gorica won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 132:159. (average 26.4:31.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
11	Ribnica	6	0	1	5	170:197	1
12	Ivancna Gorica	6	0	0	6	155:196	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RK Ivančna Gorica
Slovenian 1 NLB Liga Handball
11.04.26	Radovljica - Ivančna Gorica	27:33 ✺
04.04.26	Ivančna Gorica - Škofljica	33:30 ✺
28.03.26	Ribnica - Ivančna Gorica	34:38 ✺
07.03.26	Ivančna Gorica - Jeruzalem Ormož	29:31 ✺
04.03.26	Ivančna Gorica - Trimo Trebnje	23:28 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 WWWLL
- RD Riko Ribnica
Slovenian 1 NLB Liga Handball
11.04.26	Škofljica - Ribnica	29:32 ✺
04.04.26	Ribnica - Radovljica	29:30 ✺
28.03.26	Ribnica - Ivančna Gorica	34:38 ✺
06.03.26	Ribnica - Gorenje Velenje	30:28 ✺
28.02.26	Celje Pivovarna Laško - Ribnica	40:31 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Slovenian 1 NLB Liga Handball
28.03.26	Ribnica - Ivančna Gorica	34:38
06.12.25	Ribnica - Ivančna Gorica	27:30
20.09.25	Ivančna Gorica - Ribnica	28:34
11.12.24	Ivančna Gorica - Ribnica	25:29
28.09.24	Ribnica - Ivančna Gorica	31:32
03.02.24	Ivančna Gorica - Ribnica	28:30
09.09.23	Ribnica - Ivančna Gorica	27:29

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