Match Info

POLAND: SUPERLIGA WOMEN - ROUND 10

Date: 18 November 2023, Saturday


	Jarosław		Koszalin

	1	X	2
	1.67	7.25	2.75
	1.8	8.3	2.47
	1.7	8	2.45
	1.78	7.8	2.48
	1.8	7.8	2.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↓ (1.85)	7.83 ↓ (8.5)	2.52 ↑ (2.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 47.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jarosław
52.2%

Draw
11.7%

Koszalin
36.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.9%

10.9%

39.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.1%

9.8%

43.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jarosław has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Koszalin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jarosław than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jarosław that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Koszalin than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Koszalin could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Jarosław - Koszalin Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 25:25

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Jarosław won 3.

Jarosław has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Koszalin is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Koszalin could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Jarosław will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 16 head-to-head matches Jarosław won 10 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 421-395.

Including matches at home between the teams Jarosław won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 219-200.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SPR JKS Jarosław
Polish Superliga Handball Women
11.11.23	Jarosław - Gniezno	23:24 ✺
05.11.23	Zagłębie Lubin - Jarosław	31:25 ✺
29.10.23	Kalisz - Jarosław	33:32 penalties ✺
21.10.23	Jarosław - Halychanka Lviv	22:25 ✺
18.10.23	Jarosław - Start Elbląg	18:19 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Energa AZS Koszalin
Polish Superliga Handball Women
12.11.23	Kalisz - Koszalin	16:30 ✺
03.11.23	Koszalin - Halychanka Lviv	24:25 ✺
28.10.23	Start Elbląg - Koszalin	30:22 ✺
24.10.23	Koszalin - Kobierzyce	26:28 ✺
07.10.23	MKS Lublin - Koszalin	32:19 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Superliga Handball Women
09.09.23	Koszalin - Jarosław	24:23 penalties
25.02.23	Koszalin - Jarosław	23:26 penalties
11.12.22	Jarosław - Koszalin	24:26 penalties
29.04.22	Koszalin - Jarosław	27:33
20.02.22	Jarosław - Koszalin	29:17
19.11.21	Jarosław - Koszalin	24:23
26.09.21	Koszalin - Jarosław	20:21

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