Match Info

Superliga - Play Out - Round 1

Date: 16 April 2025, Wednesday


	Jugović		Obilic Beograd

	1	X	2
	1.52	8.6	3.05
	1.53	8.2	3.15
	1.52	8.6	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↑ (1.5)	8.47 ↑ (8)	3.08 ↑ (3)

The most likely Over/Under: 57.25

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jugović
59.7%

Draw
10.7%

Obilic Beograd
29.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.3%

11.1%

29.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58%

11.3%

30.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jugović has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Obilic Beograd has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jugović than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Obilic Beograd than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Jugović - Obilic Beograd Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 30:28

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Jugović won 0.

Jugović is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Obilic has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Obilic could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Jugović is a favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Jugović won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 245:262 (average 27.2:29.1).

Including matches at home between the teams Jugović won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 106:105 (average 26.5:26.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RK Jugović
Serbian Superliga Handball
12.04.25	Jugović - Metaloplastika Šabac	28:33 ✺
10.04.25	Partizan Beograd - Jugović	31:26 ✺
29.03.25	Jugović - Vranje	21:20 ✺
22.03.25	Crvena Zvezda - Jugović	33:27 ✺
07.03.25	Jugović - RK Vojvodina	21:32 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LLWLL
- Obilic Beograd Handball
Serbian Superliga Handball
12.04.25	Obilic Beograd - Dubočica	24:26 ✺
05.04.25	Rudar Kostolac - Obilic Beograd	26:24 ✺
30.03.25	Obilic Beograd - Metaloplastika Šabac	26:34 ✺
26.03.25	Partizan Beograd - Obilic Beograd	36:25 ✺
07.03.25	Obilic Beograd - Vranje	26:26 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0.9 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Serbian Superliga Handball
08.02.25	Obilic Beograd - Jugović	36:27
28.09.24	Jugović - Obilic Beograd	30:30
10.04.24	Obilic Beograd - Jugović	27:24
08.03.24	Jugović - Obilic Beograd	22:24
28.10.23	Obilic Beograd - Jugović	35:26
01.04.23	Jugović - Obilic Beograd	31:27
19.11.22	Obilic Beograd - Jugović	34:31

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