Match Info

CROATIA: Premijer liga - Relegation Group - Round 6

Date: 7 April 2024, Sunday


	Kastela		Moslavina

	1	X	2
	3.87	8.26	1.41
	3.75	8.5	1.35
	3.84	9.2	1.38
	3.9	9.6	1.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.84 ↑ (3.44)	8.89 ↑ (7.51)	1.38 ↓ (1.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 54.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kastela
23.7%

Draw
10.2%

Moslavina
66.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.7%

12.2%

61.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.6%

12.6%

59.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kastela has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Moslavina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kastela than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Moslavina than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Moslavina, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Kastela - Moslavina Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 26:29

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Preview

Kastela is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Moslavina is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Kastela could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Moslavina is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Kastela won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 80-89.

Including matches at home between the teams Kastela won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 28-27.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RK Kastela
Croatian Premijer Liga Handball
23.03.24	Trogir - Kastela	25:26 ✺
10.03.24	Kastela - Gorica	33:39 ✺
03.03.24	HRK Karlovac - Kastela	29:24 ✺
25.02.24	Kastela - Osijek	23:39 ✺
17.02.24	Moslavina - Kastela	31:27 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 32 WLLLL
- RK Moslavina
Croatian Premijer Liga Handball
24.03.24	Moslavina - Metković	31:27 ✺
10.03.24	Dubrava - Moslavina	32:28 ✺
02.03.24	Moslavina - Rudar Rude	24:26 ✺
24.02.24	Križevci - Moslavina	29:23 ✺
17.02.24	Moslavina - Kastela	31:27 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Croatian Premijer Liga Handball
17.02.24	Moslavina - Kastela	31:27
02.04.23	Kastela - Moslavina	28:27
19.02.23	Moslavina - Kastela	31:25

Kastela - Moslavina: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide