Match Info

CROATIA: PREMIJER LIGA - ROUND 10

Date: 19 November 2023, Sunday


	Kastela		Rudar Rude

	1	X	2
	2.08	8.32	2.08
	1.95	7.5	2.05
	1.97	8.3	2.15
	2.75	4.7	1.92
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↑ (1.51)	7.21 ↓ (8)	2.05 ↓ (3.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 53.50

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kastela
42.2%

Draw
12.8%

Rudar Rude
45%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.5%

11.4%

28%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.2%

11.5%

27.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kastela has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-18.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kastela's form might have worsened.

Rudar Rude has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Rudar Rude's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kastela than the current prediction. (+19%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kastela, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rudar Rude than the current prediction. (-17.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Rudar Rude, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	40%	60%

Kastela - Rudar Rude Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Rudar will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

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Preview

Kastela has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Rudar is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recently Rudar have a series of home games.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Kastela won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 78-89.

Including matches at home between the teams Kastela won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 28-27.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RK Kastela
Croatian Premijer Liga Handball
11.11.23	Metković - Kastela	29:23 ✺
29.10.23	Kastela - Dubrava	28:37 ✺
21.10.23	Kastela - Porec	22:30 ✺
13.10.23	Nexe - Kastela	36:18 ✺
08.10.23	Kastela - Spačva Vinkovci	21:29 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- RK Rudar Rude
Croatian Premijer Liga Handball
11.11.23	Rudar Rude - Križevci	22:22 ✺
28.10.23	Rudar Rude - Metković	34:33 ✺
21.10.23	Rudar Rude - Dubrava	29:33 ✺
14.10.23	Porec - Rudar Rude	26:25 ✺
06.10.23	Rudar Rude - Nexe	29:33 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 TWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Croatian Premijer Liga Handball
23.09.23	Rudar Rude - Kastela	32:24
04.12.22	Kastela - Rudar Rude	28:27
08.10.22	Rudar Rude - Kastela	30:26

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