Match Info

HLA - Round 7

Date: 14 October 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished


	Krems		Bärnbach Köflach

	1	X	2
	1.60	8.00	2.80
	1.45	9.00	3.45
	1.6	7.6	2.79	Watch
	1.39	9.20	3.40
	1.62	8.90	2.81	Watch
	1.62	8.40	3.00
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↑ (1.39)	8.52 ↑ (7.7)	3.04 ↓ (3.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 54.75

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Krems
59.2%

Draw
10.7%

Bärnbach Köflach
30.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

64.2%

11.6%

24.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.1%

11%

27.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Krems has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Bärnbach Köflach has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bärnbach Köflach's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Krems than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bärnbach Köflach than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Krems - Bärnbach Köflach Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Krems (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -2.5 - Krems (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Krems (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 28:26

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Krems won 4.

Recent results have been tough for Krems (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Bärnbach Köflach has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Recently, Krems has faced a series of away games on the road.

Krems carries the favorite tag into this contest.

In the last 16 head-to-head meetings, Krems has recorded 14 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 486:385 (averaging 30.4:24.1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Krems against this opponent, the record stands at 8 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 256:184 goals (averaging 32:23 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
11	Krems	8	1	2	5	228:245	4

Last Results with these Odds

Bärnbach Köflach - the odds 3.68 are the expected chance of winning is 24.24%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UHK Krems
Austrian NLA Handball
10.10.26	Ferlach - Krems	26:26 ✺
03.10.26	Vöslauer - Krems	35:30 ✺
26.09.26	Krems - Alpla Hard	27:32 ✺
19.09.26	Füchse - Krems	25:27 ✺
12.09.26	Tirol - Krems	31:29 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 TLLWL
- HSG Bärnbach Köflach
Austrian NLA Handball
10.10.26	Bärnbach Köflach - Vöslauer	26:24 ✺
03.10.26	Alpla Hard - Bärnbach Köflach	26:34 ✺
25.09.26	Bärnbach Köflach - Füchse	26:27 ✺
18.09.26	Tirol - Bärnbach Köflach	29:26 ✺
11.09.26	Bärnbach Köflach - HSG Graz	29:30 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Austrian NLA Handball
07.02.26	Bärnbach Köflach - Krems	25:25
06.09.25	Krems - Bärnbach Köflach	27:26
29.03.25	Bärnbach Köflach - Krems	24:30
02.11.24	Krems - Bärnbach Köflach	37:34
06.04.24	Bärnbach Köflach - Krems	24:29
22.11.23	Krems - Bärnbach Köflach	28:21
30.11.22	Bärnbach Köflach - Krems	28:32

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