Match Info

CROATIA: PREMIJER LIGA - ROUND 14

Date: 16 December 2023, Saturday


	Križevci		Metković

	1	X	2
	1.85	7	2.38
	1.59	7.9	2.96
	1.66	7.8	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↓ (2)	7.57 ↑ (7.5)	2.71 ↑ (2.15)

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Križevci
54%

Draw
12.1%

Metković
33.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.5%

12.1%

42.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47%

11.7%

41%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Križevci has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Križevci's performance.

Metković has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Metković might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Križevci than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Križevci that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Metković than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Metković could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Križevci is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Metković is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Križevci won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 71-81.

Including matches at home between the teams Križevci won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 28-27.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RK Križevci
Croatian Premijer Liga Handball
09.12.23	Spačva Vinkovci - Križevci	31:33 ✺
02.12.23	Križevci - Dubrava	26:21 ✺
26.11.23	Kastela - Križevci	22:26 ✺
18.11.23	Križevci - Porec	22:29 ✺
11.11.23	Rudar Rude - Križevci	22:22 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.3 WWWLT
- RK Metković
Croatian Premijer Liga Handball
10.12.23	Metković - Dubrava	21:23 ✺
02.12.23	Porec - Metković	32:18 ✺
18.11.23	Spačva Vinkovci - Metković	30:27 ✺
17.11.23	Metković - Nexe	22:39 ✺
11.11.23	Metković - Kastela	29:23 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Croatian Premijer Liga Handball
21.10.23	Metković - Križevci	27:19
26.03.23	Križevci - Metković	28:27
11.02.23	Metković - Križevci	27:24

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