Match Info

SWEDEN: HANDBOLLSLIGAN WOMEN - ROUND 21

Date: 23 March 2024, Saturday


	Kungälvs		Lugi HF

	1	X	2
	1.6	8	2.8
	1.48	10	3.25
	1.54	8.81	3.16
	1.5	8	3
	1.55	8.4	3.22
	1.54	9.2	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↓ (1.74)	8.74 ↑ (8.65)	3.09 ↑ (2.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 50.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kungälvs
59.8%

Draw
10.5%

Lugi HF
29.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.7%

10.6%

36.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.7%

11%

38.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kungälvs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kungälvs's performance.

Lugi HF has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lugi HF might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kungälvs than the current prediction. (-9.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kungälvs that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lugi HF than the current prediction. (+8.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lugi HF could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Kungälvs - Lugi HF Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 26:24

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Kungälvs won 0.

One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.

Kungälvs will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Kungälvs won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 331-352.

Including matches at home between the teams Kungälvs won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 157-173.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kungälvs HK Women
Swedish Elitserien Handball Women
16.03.24	H 65 Höör - Kungälvs	17:20 ✺
08.03.24	Kungälvs - Skövde	28:31 ✺
14.02.24	Hallby - Kungälvs	24:23 ✺
10.02.24	Kungälvs - Västerås	19:23 ✺
03.02.24	Önnereds - Kungälvs	29:22 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.2 WLLLL
- Lugi HF Dam
Swedish Elitserien Handball Women
16.03.24	Skara - Lugi HF	29:27 ✺
06.03.24	Lugi HF - Hallby	30:29 ✺
18.02.24	H 65 Höör - Lugi HF	22:19 ✺
11.02.24	Lugi HF - Önnereds	23:35 ✺
04.02.24	Lugi HF - Aranäs	26:27 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Elitserien Handball Women
24.09.23	Lugi HF - Kungälvs	25:25
20.01.23	Lugi HF - Kungälvs	35:32
17.12.22	Kungälvs - Lugi HF	25:25
09.04.22	Kungälvs - Lugi HF	25:26
05.04.22	Lugi HF - Kungälvs	27:21
28.03.22	Kungälvs - Lugi HF	24:30
17.03.22	Kungälvs - Lugi HF	22:27

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