Match Info

2. Bundesliga Women - Round 24

Date: 5 April 2025, Saturday


	Kurpfalz Bären		Mainz

	1	X	2
	3.7	10	1.36
				Watch
	3.9	8.9	1.38
	3.7	10	1.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.77 ↑ (2.84)	9.63 ↑ (9)	1.37 ↓ (1.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 54.75

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kurpfalz Bären
24.1%

Draw
9.4%

Mainz
66.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.8%

10.4%

56.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.9%

9.8%

60.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kurpfalz Bären has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kurpfalz Bären's form might have worsened.

Mainz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mainz's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kurpfalz Bären than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kurpfalz Bären, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mainz than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mainz, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Kurpfalz Bären - Mainz Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 26:29

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Kurpfalz Bären won 3.

Kurpfalz Bären is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Mainz is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Mainz will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Kurpfalz Bären won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 262:294 (average 26.2:29.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Kurpfalz Bären won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 130:149 (average 26:29.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kurpfalz Bären
German 2 Bundesliga Handball Women
29.03.25	Union Halle-Neustadt - Kurpfalz Bären	28:25 ✺
22.03.25	Kurpfalz Bären - Leipzig	25:44 ✺
15.03.25	Kurpfalz Bären - Rödertal	19:39 ✺
22.02.25	Solingen Gräfrath - Kurpfalz Bären	31:26 ✺
15.02.25	Kurpfalz Bären - Waiblingen	32:27 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LLLLW
- Mainz 05 Handball Women
German 2 Bundesliga Handball Women
29.03.25	Mainz - Rödertal	26:26 ✺
22.03.25	Solingen Gräfrath - Mainz	36:28 ✺
15.03.25	Mainz - Waiblingen	30:30 ✺
22.02.25	Mainz-Bretzenheim - Mainz	16:25 ✺
15.02.25	Mainz - Regensburg	30:24 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 TLTWW

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga Handball Women
30.11.24	Mainz - Kurpfalz Bären	37:25
18.02.24	Mainz - Kurpfalz Bären	28:31
07.10.23	Kurpfalz Bären - Mainz	22:30
13.05.23	Mainz - Kurpfalz Bären	24:26
14.01.23	Kurpfalz Bären - Mainz	28:25
04.05.22	Mainz - Kurpfalz Bären	22:28
16.10.21	Kurpfalz Bären - Mainz	21:29

Kurpfalz Bären - Mainz: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide