Match Info

European League Women - Round 2

Date: 21 February 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Iceland	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay


	Larvik		Thüringer

	1	X	2
	2.7	8.5	1.6	Watch
	2.9	8.2	1.58
	3.44	7.86	1.47
	2.88	8	1.53
	2.95	9.1	1.57
	2.54	8	1.69
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.9 ↑ (2.31)	8.28 ↑ (8)	1.57 ↓ (1.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 58.25

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Larvik
31.3%

Draw
11%

Thüringer
57.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.4%

11.4%

49.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.3%

10.8%

52.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Larvik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Larvik's form might have worsened.

Thüringer has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Thüringer's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Larvik than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Larvik, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Thüringer than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Thüringer, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Larvik - Thüringer Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 30:30

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Lineups


7. Berg S.	23. Aizawa N.
12. Frisendal D.	19. Farago L.
6. Hedenstad C.	7. Heider L.
10. Hulleberg J.	6. Hendrikse N.
4. Iversen K.	22. Hoffbeck R.
5. Kvalsund H.	8. Holm J.
18. Morch T.	59. Kuczora C.
1. Nygaard O.	11. Kuske L.
15. Ramberg G.	1. Lovgren C.
25. Rosenberg B.	14. Niederwieser A.
26. Saeteren M.	29. Reichert J.
11. Wiik F.	77. Rosa K.
8. Wolff M.	20. Scheib J.
	26. Szabo A.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Larvik won 2.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Thüringer will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Larvik won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 279:240. (average 31:26.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Larvik won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 129:93. (average 32.3:23.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Larvik HK
Norwegian Eliteserien Handball Women
18.02.26	Haslum IL - Larvik	22:20 ✺
EHF European League Women
14.02.26	Baia Mare - Larvik	28:31 ✺
Norwegian Eliteserien Handball Women
11.02.26	Larvik - Byasen Trondheim	32:29 ✺
EHF European League Women
08.02.26	Larvik - Mosonmagyaróvár	26:27 ✺
Norwegian Eliteserien Handball Women
03.02.26	Tertnes Bergen - Larvik	31:29 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 LWWLL
- Thüringer HC
German 1 Bundesliga Handball Women
18.02.26	Thüringer - BVB Dortmund	22:33 ✺
EHF European League Women
15.02.26	Thüringer - Mosonmagyaróvár	34:24 ✺
German 1 Bundesliga Handball Women
11.02.26	Oldenburg - Thüringer	35:30 ✺
EHF European League Women
07.02.26	Baia Mare - Thüringer	28:24 ✺
German 1 Bundesliga Handball Women
04.02.26	Thüringer - Frisch Auf Göppingen	39:33 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

EHF European League Women
18.01.26	Thüringer - Larvik	36:33
15.02.25	Larvik - Thüringer	38:25
11.01.25	Thüringer - Larvik	43:35
EHF Champions League Women
12.11.17	Thüringer - Larvik	22:25
07.10.17	Larvik - Thüringer	27:31
14.02.16	Thüringer - Larvik	20:28
09.01.16	Larvik - Thüringer	28:19

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