Match Info

1. Bundesliga Women - Round 5

Date: 7 October 2026, Wednesday


	Leipzig		Metzingen

	1	X	2
	3.10	8.00	1.53
	2.39	8.25	1.79
	2.77	7.6	1.63
	2.5	7.8	1.68
	2.62	7.3	1.74
	2.5	7.8	1.68
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.65 ↑ (1.8)	7.79 ↑ (7.27)	1.68 ↓ (2.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 59.25

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leipzig
34.2%

Draw
11.6%

Metzingen
54.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

12.4%

37.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46%

11.4%

40.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leipzig has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Leipzig's form might have worsened.

Metzingen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Metzingen's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leipzig than the current prediction. (+11.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Leipzig, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Metzingen than the current prediction. (-13.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Metzingen, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Leipzig - Metzingen Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Metzingen (1.58) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Metzingen (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 29:31

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Preview

Leipzig is on a difficult losing run (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Metzingen has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Metzingen may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Metzingen has had a run of games away from home.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Leipzig has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 99:109 (averaging 24.8:27.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Leipzig against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 49:50 goals (averaging 24.5:25 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
5	Metzingen W	5	3	0	2	154:157	6
12	Leipzig W	5	0	0	5	129:157	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Leipzig
German 1 Bundesliga Handball Women
19.09.26	Frisch Auf Göppingen - Leipzig	35:27 ✺
13.09.26	Leipzig - Oldenburg	24:28 ✺
05.09.26	Buxtehuder - Leipzig	26:23 ✺
29.08.26	Leipzig - BVB Dortmund	28:36 ✺
German DHB Pokal Women
21.08.26	Rödertal - Leipzig	23:22 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- TuS Metzingen
EHF European League Women
03.10.26	HCM Râmnicu Vâlcea - Metzingen	39:24 ✺
German DHB Pokal Women
30.09.26	Solingen Gräfrath - Metzingen	34:32 ✺
German 1 Bundesliga Handball Women
19.09.26	Metzingen - Thüringer	33:35 ✺
13.09.26	Sachsen Zwickau - Metzingen	25:29 ✺
02.09.26	Blomberg-Lippe - Metzingen	40:28 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

German 1 Bundesliga Handball Women
13.05.17	Metzingen - Leipzig	34:26
24.01.17	Leipzig - Metzingen	24:23
EHF European League Women
28.02.16	Leipzig - Metzingen	25:27
19.02.16	Metzingen - Leipzig	25:24

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