Match Info

DENMARK: HERRE HANDBOLD LIGAEN - ROUND 16

Date: 8 December 2023, Friday


	Lemvig-Thyborøn		Nordsjælland

	1	X	2
	1.72	8	2.8
	1.62	8.25	2.9
	1.7	8.34	2.67
	1.62	7.5	2.7
	1.71	8.1	2.72
	1.75	7.8	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↑ (1.51)	8 ↓ (8.4)	2.74 ↓ (3.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 55.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lemvig-Thyborøn
54.8%

Draw
11.5%

Nordsjælland
33.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.7%

10.9%

28.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.8%

11.5%

27%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lemvig-Thyborøn has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lemvig-Thyborøn's form might have worsened.

Nordsjælland has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nordsjælland's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lemvig-Thyborøn than the current prediction. (+9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lemvig-Thyborøn, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nordsjælland than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nordsjælland, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Lemvig Thyborøn - Nordsjælland Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 29:29

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Lemvig won 3.

Lemvig has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Nordsjælland is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Lemvig could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Lemvig will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Lemvig won 6 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 379-381.

Including matches at home between the teams Lemvig won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 174-172.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lemvig-Thyborøn Håndbold
Danish Handbold Ligaen
30.11.23	Fredericia - Lemvig-Thyborøn	28:21 ✺
25.11.23	Lemvig-Thyborøn - Aalborg	30:30 ✺
15.11.23	Lemvig-Thyborøn - Skanderborg	29:31 ✺
09.11.23	KIF Kolding - Lemvig-Thyborøn	29:24 ✺
28.10.23	Lemvig-Thyborøn - GOG	34:38 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LTLLL
- Nordsjælland Håndbold
Danish Handbold Ligaen
02.12.23	Nordsjælland - Bjerringbro SV	26:32 ✺
24.11.23	Nordsjælland - Fredericia	28:33 ✺
16.11.23	Tvis Holstebro - Nordsjælland	24:34 ✺
11.11.23	Skanderborg - Nordsjælland	27:23 ✺
29.10.23	Nordsjælland - Aalborg	27:33 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Danish Handbold Ligaen
10.09.23	Nordsjælland - Lemvig-Thyborøn	20:27
10.05.23	Nordsjælland - Lemvig-Thyborøn	30:28
11.02.23	Lemvig-Thyborøn - Nordsjælland	28:27
04.10.22	Nordsjælland - Lemvig-Thyborøn	22:25
07.05.22	Lemvig-Thyborøn - Nordsjælland	31:33
09.02.22	Nordsjælland - Lemvig-Thyborøn	29:24
10.12.21	Lemvig-Thyborøn - Nordsjælland	31:31

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