Match Info

PORTUGAL: 1A DIVISAO WOMEN - ROUND 9

Date: 8 December 2022, Thursday


	Leça		Alpendorada

	1	X	2
	2.35	9.4	1.78	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.35 ↓ (2.82)	9.4 ↑ (8)	1.78 ↑ (1.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 46.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leça
38.9%

Draw
9.7%

Alpendorada
51.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.3%

11.4%

56.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.6%

11.7%

57.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leça has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Leça's performance.

Alpendorada has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leça than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Leça that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alpendorada than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alpendorada could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Leça - Alpendorada Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Leça will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 24:24

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Preview

One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.

Alpendorada could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Leça have a series of guest games.

Alpendorada will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Leça won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 104-127.

Including matches at home between the teams Leça won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 67-79.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Leça
Portuguese 1a Divisao Handball Women
26.11.22	Leça - Colegio de Gaia	27:28 ✺
19.11.22	SIR 1º Maio ADA CJ Barros - Leça	20:21 ✺
12.11.22	Benfica - Leça	27:14 ✺
22.10.22	Gil Eanes - Leça	20:13 ✺
11.10.22	ABC Braga - Leça	29:26 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LWLLL
- ARC Alpendorada
Portuguese 1a Divisao Handball Women
03.12.22	Alpendorada - ABC Braga	25:31 ✺
19.11.22	Alpendorada - Benfica	24:30 ✺
12.11.22	Maiastars - Alpendorada	26:24 ✺
26.10.22	Academia São Pedro do Sul - Alpendorada	35:19 ✺
15.10.22	Alpendorada - SIR 1º Maio ADA CJ Barros	21:20 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese 1a Divisao Handball Women
06.11.21	Alpendorada - Leça	23:20
30.05.21	Alpendorada - Leça	25:17
03.04.21	Leça - Alpendorada	19:26
01.03.20	Leça - Alpendorada	22:22
30.10.18	Leça - Alpendorada	26:31

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