Match Info

EUROPE: European League - Group Stage - Round 6

Date: 26 November 2024, Tuesday

Location: Palais des Sports de Beaublanc (Limoges)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	Eurosport 2
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1 Premium


	Limoges		Benfica

	1	X	2
	1.85	8	2.4
	1.9	10.5	2.2
	1.81	8	2.37
	1.84	7.93	2.39	Watch
	1.85	8	2.3
	1.76	8.1	2.53
	1.81	8	2.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↓ (2.09)	8.36 ↑ (7.98)	2.37 ↑ (2.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 63.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Limoges
50.2%

Draw
11%

Benfica
38.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.7%

11.5%

44.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.7%

10.7%

48.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Limoges has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Limoges's performance.

Benfica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Benfica might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Limoges than the current prediction. (-9.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Limoges that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Benfica than the current prediction. (+9.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Benfica could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Limoges - Benfica Predictions

Users Predictions: Limoges will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 33:33

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Lineups


25. Azkue J.	27. Baptista R.
30. Comte M.	22. Borges A.
45. El Deraa S.	99. Cabral G.
3. Guillaume A.	41. Capdeville G.
44. Hrstic M.	5. Cavalcanti G.
26. Ivah G.	20. Franca Silva F.
7. Ivic S.	30. Grigoras D.
9. Kusan T.	77. Hanusz E.
51. Monteiro J.	4. Hedberg C.
28. Nieto N.	24. Izquierdo A.
8. Ogando M.	11. Moreira B.
97. Petit T.	32. Palasics K.
12. Slavic D.	23. Rahmel O.
42. Thuillier N.	2. Sanchez-Migallon M.
17. Turchenko I.	28. Taleski F.
2. Yusuf F.	7. Valencia S. T.

Preview

Benfica is Qualified for European League

Recent matches Limoges is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Benfica in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Benfica could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Limoges have a series of guest games.

Recently Benfica have a series of home games.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Limoges won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 31:37

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Limoges Hand 87
French Starligue Handball
22.11.24	Cesson Rennes Métropole - Limoges	24:29 ✺
EHF European League
19.11.24	Tatran Prešov - Limoges	21:34 ✺
French Starligue Handball
15.11.24	Limoges - Creteil	33:36 ✺
03.11.24	HBC Nantes - Limoges	35:27 ✺
EHF European League
29.10.24	Kadetten Schaffhausen - Limoges	29:39 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WWLLW
- Benfica Handball
EHF European League
19.11.24	Benfica - Kadetten Schaffhausen	39:32 ✺
Portuguese Andebol 1
15.11.24	Benfica - Madeira	35:25 ✺
02.11.24	Benfica - ABC Braga	36:31 ✺
EHF European League
29.10.24	Benfica - Tatran Prešov	36:23 ✺
Portuguese Andebol 1
26.10.24	Belenenses - Benfica	26:35 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

EHF European League
15.10.24	Benfica - Limoges	37:31

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