Match Info

1. SRL Women - Losers stage - Round 5

Date: 14 March 2026, Saturday


	Litija		Ptuj

	1	X	2
	2.32	8	1.87
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.32 ↑ (1.62)	8 (8)	1.87 ↓ (2.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 55.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Litija
39.5%

Draw
11.5%

Ptuj
49%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.3%

11.4%

32.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.3%

11.8%

33.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Litija has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Litija's form might have worsened.

Ptuj has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ptuj's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Litija than the current prediction. (+14.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Litija, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ptuj than the current prediction. (-15.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ptuj, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Litija - Ptuj Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 29:27

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Preview

Recent performances by Litija have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Aklimat Ptuj is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Litija may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Litija will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Litija won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 116:104. (average 29:26).

Including home matches between the teams, Litija won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 59:52. (average 29.5:26).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
7	Aklimat Ptuj W	3	1	0	2	80:94	2
9	ZRD Litija W	4	1	0	3	83:135	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ZRD Litija
Slovenian 1 SRL Women
01.03.26	Millennium - Litija	32:23 ✺
25.02.26	Litija - Vrhnika	27:22 ✺
07.02.26	Litija - Vrhnika	27:19 ✺
31.01.26	Krka - Litija	31:20 ✺
28.01.26	Litija - RK Krim	25:38 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 LWWLL
- ŽRK Ptuj
Slovenian 1 SRL Women
27.02.26	Ptuj - Olimpija Ljubljana	26:23 ✺
25.02.26	Celje - Ptuj	37:28 ✺
20.02.26	Ptuj - Krka	28:32 ✺
06.02.26	Koper - Ptuj	32:26 ✺
31.01.26	Ptuj - Ljubljana	26:40 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Slovenian 1 SRL Women
24.01.26	Litija - Ptuj	25:22
25.01.25	Ptuj - Litija	28:33
24.03.23	Ptuj - Litija	24:24
08.01.23	Litija - Ptuj	34:30

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