Match Info

SWEDEN: HANDBOLLSLIGAN

Date: 11 February 2024, Sunday


	Lugi		Önnereds

	1	X	2
	2.8	7.5	1.6
	2.8	9.75	1.62
	2.75	8.72	1.66
	2.9	8.5	1.5
	2.93	8.4	1.64	Watch
	2.8	8.8	1.64
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.83 ↓ (4.15)	8.61 ↓ (10.76)	1.61 ↑ (1.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 59.75

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lugi
32.4%

Draw
10.6%

Önnereds
57%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.3%

8.6%

69.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.6%

8.7%

68.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lugi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lugi's performance.

Önnereds has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Önnereds might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lugi than the current prediction. (-9.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lugi that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Önnereds than the current prediction. (+11.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Önnereds could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Lugi - Önnereds Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 29:31

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Lugi won 1.

Lugi has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Önnereds is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Lugi could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Önnereds is a favorite.

Last 15 head-to-head matches Lugi won 10 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 457-404.

Including matches at home between the teams Lugi won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 219-173.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lugi HF
Swedish Elitserien Handball
31.01.24	Hammarby - Lugi	33:23 ✺
29.12.23	Lugi - Sävehof	27:27 ✺
22.12.23	Kristianstad - Lugi	31:28 ✺
18.12.23	Lugi - Ystads IF	27:34 ✺
13.12.23	Lugi - Skövde	24:25 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LTLLL
- Önnereds HK
Swedish Elitserien Handball
07.02.24	Önnereds - Malmö	25:21 ✺
03.02.24	Önnereds - Amo HK	23:29 ✺
31.01.24	Hallby - Önnereds	33:34 ✺
29.12.23	Önnereds - Kristianstad	35:32 ✺
26.12.23	Sävehof - Önnereds	37:31 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Elitserien Handball
24.11.23	Önnereds - Lugi	32:29
11.02.23	Önnereds - Lugi	33:29
19.10.22	Lugi - Önnereds	36:28
04.03.22	Önnereds - Lugi	25:25
30.09.21	Lugi - Önnereds	30:31
06.03.21	Lugi - Önnereds	32:26
15.09.20	Önnereds - Lugi	30:34

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