Match Info

SWEDEN: HANDBOLLSLIGAN WOMEN - ROUND 9

Date: 17 November 2023, Friday


	Lugi HF		Skara

	1	X	2
	3	8	1.55	Watch
	3.1	9.25	1.53
	3.35	9.24	1.48
	3.2	8.5	1.44
	3.32	8.3	1.49
	3.25	9.6	1.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.2 ↑ (2.67)	8.82 ↑ (8.06)	1.5 ↓ (1.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 53.75

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lugi HF
28.5%

Draw
10.4%

Skara
61.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.1%

11.3%

54.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.7%

10.8%

52.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lugi HF has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lugi HF's form might have worsened.

Skara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Skara's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lugi HF than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lugi HF, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Skara than the current prediction. (-9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Skara, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Lugi HF - Skara Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 26:29

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Lugi won 2.

Both teams are in bad shape now.

Skara could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Skara is a favorite.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Lugi won 8 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 362-342.

Including matches at home between the teams Lugi won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 179-167.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lugi HF Dam
Swedish Elitserien Handball Women
11.11.23	Västerås - Lugi HF	23:24 ✺
29.10.23	Lugi HF - H 65 Höör	14:33 ✺
25.10.23	Skuru IK - Lugi HF	34:24 ✺
20.10.23	Lugi HF - Skövde	25:26 ✺
28.09.23	Önnereds - Lugi HF	37:22 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.1 WLLLL
- Skara HF
Swedish Elitserien Handball Women
08.11.23	Skara - Sävehof	22:35 ✺
29.10.23	Hallby - Skara	33:31 ✺
25.10.23	Kungälvs - Skara	28:28 ✺
19.10.23	Skara - Önnereds	26:26 ✺
30.09.23	H 65 Höör - Skara	27:24 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Elitserien Handball Women
12.01.23	Lugi HF - Skara	22:29
14.12.22	Skara - Lugi HF	23:22
21.03.22	Lugi HF - Skara	21:23
17.09.21	Skara - Lugi HF	28:33
04.03.21	Lugi HF - Skara	30:26
26.09.20	Skara - Lugi HF	27:22
06.03.20	Skara - Lugi HF	31:30

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